Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$155
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
10,182
lifetime
Volume
$1.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$13.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 06:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
77%
Other
19%
Politics
4%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,550 $1,334 86¢ $1.3K $-9 07-21 03:41
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +1,340 $1,206 90¢ $1.2K $-4 07-18 12:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -830 $-785 94¢ $-784 +$0 07-04 21:33
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +874 $752 88¢ $765 +$12 06-29 17:03
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +811 $751 93¢ $754 +$3 07-21 05:10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +746 $713 95¢ $709 $-4 07-16 20:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -940 $-690 74¢ $-691 $-0 07-16 05:13
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +668 $646 96¢ $639 $-7 07-21 06:04
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -624 $-585 96¢ $-596 $-11 07-17 10:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -560 $-498 90¢ $-501 $-3 07-16 16:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -560 $-504 90¢ $-501 +$3 07-16 22:13
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +525 $491 92¢ $481 $-10 07-18 06:19
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -440 $-421 97¢ $-427 $-6 06-09 15:28
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +450 $429 94¢ $423 $-6 07-19 00:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -440 $-392 94¢ $-411 $-20 06-01 22:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,157 $517 36¢ $411 $-106 07-04 18:14
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -397 $-372 96¢ $-380 $-9 05-31 17:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No +380 $342 92¢ $352 +$10 06-23 02:34
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +342 $321 92¢ $316 $-5 07-17 10:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +315 $277 92¢ $288 +$11 07-04 02:05
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +290 $280 98¢ $283 +$4 06-26 14:08
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +300 $273 92¢ $277 +$4 07-01 14:18
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +240 $228 96¢ $229 +$2 07-19 02:20
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +202 $197 98¢ $197 +$0 06-01 18:57
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? No +202 $175 88¢ $176 +$1 07-09 13:55
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -200 $-174 86¢ $-171 +$3 07-17 14:18
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -170 $-150 92¢ $-156 $-6 06-28 22:39
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +160 $155 95¢ $153 $-2 07-17 17:41
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -142 $-134 96¢ $-136 $-2 07-04 09:55
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +120 $116 97¢ $116 +$0 07-18 07:02