Realized P&L
+$8.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$954
Hit rate
63.7%
Resolved
912
Trades
13,118
lifetime
Volume
$1.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$23.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 05:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Sports
64% 58% +$6,679
Other
26% 69% -$120
Politics
10% 74% +$1,239
Tech
0% 100% +$19
Crypto
0% 100% +$219
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,300 $819 80¢ $1.0K +$227 10-05 07:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,030 $821 92¢ $942 +$122 07-24 13:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,100 $786 83¢ $913 +$127 07-24 22:57
US recession by end of 2026? No +980 $862 92¢ $906 +$44 09-25 04:43
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +1,000 $893 90¢ $895 +$3 10-12 11:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +910 $878 98¢ $892 +$15 09-25 00:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,180 $861 74¢ $879 +$18 09-25 07:01
will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026 No +890 $810 95¢ $847 +$36 07-21 07:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +900 $769 94¢ $842 +$73 07-28 03:58
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,040 $823 81¢ $838 +$15 07-25 12:12
Trump out as President before 2027? No +860 $784 96¢ $825 +$41 07-26 09:43
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +890 $801 92¢ $819 +$18 10-19 10:16
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +830 $808 98¢ $816 +$8 09-25 09:26
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +830 $798 97¢ $805 +$7 10-17 11:36
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +831 $761 97¢ $802 +$41 07-28 18:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +860 $757 92¢ $796 +$39 08-27 18:19
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +796 $764 98¢ $778 +$15 07-18 13:29
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +900 $792 84¢ $760 -$31 10-18 02:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +800 $680 94¢ $748 +$68 10-17 11:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +760 $712 96¢ $731 +$19 09-24 19:53
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +860 $697 80¢ $692 -$4 08-28 15:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +800 $672 85¢ $680 +$8 10-05 12:16
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,200 $492 54¢ $653 +$162 09-26 10:35
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +760 $699 86¢ $650 -$49 09-25 15:54
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +700 $637 90¢ $634 -$4 10-05 12:15
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +630 $578 97¢ $608 +$30 07-26 20:35
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +637 $616 92¢ $589 -$26 07-28 03:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +860 $537 66¢ $572 +$35 10-05 12:18
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +770 $670 72¢ $551 -$119 09-24 21:46
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +500 $467 97¢ $486 +$18 08-01 11:00