Realized P&L
+$8.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$641
Hit rate
63.7%
Resolved
912
Trades
13,121
lifetime
Volume
$1.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$22.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 13:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Sports
64% 58% +$6,679
Other
26% 69% -$120
Politics
10% 74% +$1,239
Tech
0% 100% +$19
Crypto
0% 100% +$219
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,030 $821 94¢ $963 +$142 07-24 13:43
US recession by end of 2026? No +980 $862 93¢ $911 +$49 09-25 04:43
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +1,000 $893 90¢ $895 +$3 10-12 11:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +910 $878 98¢ $889 +$12 09-25 00:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,100 $786 80¢ $886 +$99 07-24 22:57
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +890 $810 95¢ $847 +$37 07-21 07:31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,180 $861 71¢ $838 -$24 09-25 07:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +900 $769 92¢ $828 +$59 07-28 03:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No +860 $784 96¢ $827 +$43 07-26 09:43
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +890 $801 92¢ $819 +$18 10-19 10:16
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +830 $808 98¢ $810 +$3 09-25 09:26
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +830 $798 97¢ $807 +$10 10-17 11:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +860 $757 94¢ $804 +$47 08-27 18:19
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +831 $761 96¢ $800 +$39 07-28 18:19
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,040 $823 76¢ $788 -$35 07-25 12:12
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +796 $764 98¢ $776 +$12 07-18 13:29
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +900 $792 86¢ $770 -$22 10-18 02:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +800 $680 93¢ $744 +$64 10-17 11:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +760 $712 97¢ $738 +$26 09-24 19:53
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +860 $697 86¢ $735 +$39 08-28 15:25
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +760 $699 91¢ $692 -$8 09-25 15:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +800 $672 86¢ $684 +$12 10-05 12:16
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +700 $637 92¢ $644 +$7 10-05 12:15
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +630 $578 97¢ $613 +$35 07-26 20:35
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +860 $537 70¢ $606 +$70 10-05 12:18
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +637 $616 93¢ $591 -$25 07-28 03:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +770 $670 74¢ $570 -$100 09-24 21:46
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +500 $467 95¢ $476 +$9 08-01 11:00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,200 $492 40¢ $475 -$16 09-26 10:35
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +505 $422 91¢ $459 +$38 08-10 23:31