Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$166
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
9,635
lifetime
Volume
$979.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$10.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 15:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
81%
Other
17%
Politics
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -820 $-806 99¢ $-812 $-6 06-02 02:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +860 $808 94¢ $808 $-0 06-06 05:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +770 $758 99¢ $764 +$6 06-07 02:31
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -744 $-699 94¢ $-703 $-4 06-04 01:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -680 $-635 96¢ $-652 $-17 06-02 19:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +680 $612 90¢ $609 $-3 06-02 18:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -650 $-601 94¢ $-608 $-6 06-02 00:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +540 $459 84¢ $456 $-3 05-30 18:23
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +575 $408 76¢ $434 +$26 06-02 22:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -430 $-421 98¢ $-423 $-2 06-04 02:47
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -440 $-421 95¢ $-419 +$2 06-09 15:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -440 $-392 90¢ $-394 $-2 06-01 22:17
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -397 $-372 95¢ $-376 $-4 05-31 17:15
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +350 $345 99¢ $346 +$1 05-30 18:57
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +311 $280 92¢ $286 +$6 06-02 06:43
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -800 $-200 34¢ $-272 $-72 05-30 20:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +270 $252 92¢ $249 $-3 06-02 09:57
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +202 $197 98¢ $197 +$0 06-01 18:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,118 $-267 16¢ $-184 +$83 06-01 22:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,930 $-328 10¢ $-183 +$145 06-01 22:20
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +214 $180 86¢ $183 +$3 06-05 20:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -190 $-162 88¢ $-166 $-5 05-29 15:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -490 $-137 32¢ $-159 $-22 06-01 20:45
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +160 $134 92¢ $146 +$12 06-05 05:00
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +140 $137 99¢ $139 +$1 06-02 04:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -350 $-164 38¢ $-131 +$33 05-29 02:39
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No -136 $-128 96¢ $-131 $-3 06-04 09:02
New pandemic in 2026? No +120 $107 88¢ $106 $-1 06-02 17:48
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +110 $104 96¢ $105 +$1 06-02 23:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +50 $42 86¢ $43 +$1 06-02 18:56