Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$166
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
9,635
lifetime
Volume
$979.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$10.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 15:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
81%
—
—
Other
17%
—
—
Politics
2%
—
—
Crypto
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk
• peak 255 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | -820 | $-806 | 99¢ | $-812 | $-6 | 06-02 02:05 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | +860 | $808 | 94¢ | $808 | $-0 | 06-06 05:38 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | +770 | $758 | 99¢ | $764 | +$6 | 06-07 02:31 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | -744 | $-699 | 94¢ | $-703 | $-4 | 06-04 01:44 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | -680 | $-635 | 96¢ | $-652 | $-17 | 06-02 19:55 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | +680 | $612 | 90¢ | $609 | $-3 | 06-02 18:57 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | -650 | $-601 | 94¢ | $-608 | $-6 | 06-02 00:45 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | +540 | $459 | 84¢ | $456 | $-3 | 05-30 18:23 | |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +575 | $408 | 76¢ | $434 | +$26 | 06-02 22:41 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | -430 | $-421 | 98¢ | $-423 | $-2 | 06-04 02:47 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | -440 | $-421 | 95¢ | $-419 | +$2 | 06-09 15:28 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | -440 | $-392 | 90¢ | $-394 | $-2 | 06-01 22:17 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | -397 | $-372 | 95¢ | $-376 | $-4 | 05-31 17:15 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | +350 | $345 | 99¢ | $346 | +$1 | 05-30 18:57 | |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | +311 | $280 | 92¢ | $286 | +$6 | 06-02 06:43 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | -800 | $-200 | 34¢ | $-272 | $-72 | 05-30 20:26 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | +270 | $252 | 92¢ | $249 | $-3 | 06-02 09:57 | |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | +202 | $197 | 98¢ | $197 | +$0 | 06-01 18:57 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | -1,118 | $-267 | 16¢ | $-184 | +$83 | 06-01 22:57 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | -1,930 | $-328 | 10¢ | $-183 | +$145 | 06-01 22:20 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | +214 | $180 | 86¢ | $183 | +$3 | 06-05 20:17 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | -190 | $-162 | 88¢ | $-166 | $-5 | 05-29 15:37 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | No | -490 | $-137 | 32¢ | $-159 | $-22 | 06-01 20:45 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | No | +160 | $134 | 92¢ | $146 | +$12 | 06-05 05:00 | |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | No | +140 | $137 | 99¢ | $139 | +$1 | 06-02 04:02 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -350 | $-164 | 38¢ | $-131 | +$33 | 05-29 02:39 | |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | No | -136 | $-128 | 96¢ | $-131 | $-3 | 06-04 09:02 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | +120 | $107 | 88¢ | $106 | $-1 | 06-02 17:48 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | +110 | $104 | 96¢ | $105 | +$1 | 06-02 23:45 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | +50 | $42 | 86¢ | $43 | +$1 | 06-02 18:56 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nfl ne den 2026 01 25 | 8 | $8.2K | 10,000 | 4,000 | +6,000 | open | — | 01-25 17:48 |
| nfl sf phi 2026 01 11 | 77 | $8.1K | 10,960 | 3,000 | +7,960 | open | — | 01-11 19:00 |
| nba det nop 2026 01 21 | 6 | $6.8K | 10,000 | 2,000 | +8,000 | open | — | 01-22 00:12 |
| nba mia uta 2026 01 24 | 47 | $6.7K | 12,500 | 500 | +12,000 | open | — | 01-25 02:19 |
| nba hou dal 2026 01 03 | 28 | $6.6K | 4,000 | 5,000 | -1,000 | open | — | 01-04 01:10 |
| nba uta gsw 2026 01 03 | 5 | $6.5K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | open | — | 01-04 01:15 |
| nfl buf den 2026 01 17 | 8 | $6.0K | 6,000 | 6,000 | +0 | open | — | 01-17 21:22 |
| nba atl mem 2026 01 21 | 11 | $5.9K | 10,000 | 2,000 | +8,000 | open | — | 01-22 01:18 |
| nba orl was 2026 01 06 | 32 | $5.8K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | open | — | 01-06 23:40 |
| nfl lac ne 2026 01 11 | 28 | $5.5K | 8,000 | 2,000 | +6,000 | open | — | 01-12 00:35 |
| nba cha chi 2026 01 03 | 59 | $5.5K | 6,978 | 4,141 | +2,836 | open | — | 01-04 00:36 |
| nba nop mia 2026 01 04 | 45 | $5.5K | 7,000 | 3,000 | +4,000 | open | — | 01-04 22:45 |
| nba mia phx 2026 01 25 | 28 | $5.3K | 10,480 | 0 | +10,480 | open | — | 01-26 00:06 |
| nba den dal 2026 01 14 | 82 | $5.2K | 8,000 | 2,000 | +6,000 | open | — | 01-15 01:45 |
| nba tor sac 2026 01 21 | 31 | $5.2K | 10,000 | 1,517 | +8,483 | open | — | 01-22 02:49 |
| nfl bal pit 2026 01 04 | 12 | $5.1K | 5,702 | 5,702 | +0 | open | — | 01-05 00:30 |
| nfl gb chi 2026 01 10 | 60 | $5.0K | 6,000 | 4,000 | +2,000 | open | — | 01-10 18:12 |
| nba bkn nyk 2026 01 21 | 2 | $5.0K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | open | — | 01-22 00:01 |
| nfl hou pit 2026 01 12 | 94 | $5.0K | 9,680 | 1,000 | +8,680 | open | — | 01-13 00:47 |
| nba gsw min 2026 01 26 | 29 | $4.9K | 10,000 | 2,000 | +8,000 | open | — | 01-27 01:00 |
| nfl buf jax 2026 01 11 | 115 | $4.7K | 6,874 | 2,227 | +4,648 | open | — | 01-11 14:55 |
| nba sac sas 2026 02 21 | 17 | $4.6K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | open | — | 02-21 07:09 |
| nba uta chi 2026 01 14 | 64 | $4.6K | 5,999 | 2,000 | +3,999 | open | — | 01-15 00:34 |
| nba bkn phx 2026 01 27 | 8 | $4.5K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | open | — | 01-28 01:56 |
| nba phi min 2026 02 22 | 25 | $4.3K | 6,452 | 0 | +6,452 | open | — | 02-22 22:56 |
| nba phi tor 2026 01 12 | 88 | $4.3K | 6,041 | 2,041 | +4,000 | open | — | 01-12 23:06 |
| nba was lac 2026 01 14 | 38 | $4.2K | 4,000 | 2,000 | +2,000 | open | — | 01-15 02:02 |
| nba phx atl 2026 01 23 | 33 | $4.1K | 8,200 | 0 | +8,200 | open | — | 01-24 00:00 |
| nba orl cle 2026 01 26 | 22 | $4.1K | 7,325 | 2,000 | +5,325 | open | — | 01-26 23:34 |
| nba sas bos 2026 01 10 | 15 | $4.0K | 5,000 | 3,000 | +2,000 | open | — | 01-10 23:35 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2652…2a1d | 647 | $5.38M | 54,400 | 04-03 04:29 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | 630 | $14.6M | 81,632 | 04-03 04:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | 624 | $242.5K | 27,611 | 03-19 05:56 |
| Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae | 606 | $12.5M | 47,894 | 04-03 04:31 |
| Unconscious-Penguin 0xead1…c76a | 586 | $11.9M | 92,203 | 04-24 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe60a…6a47 | 579 | $14.8M | 169,619 | 03-31 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xddd7…1596 | 576 | $339.2K | 17,308 | 04-03 02:15 |
| Irresponsible-Autumn 0xd9e0…05f2 | 574 | $3.49M | 92,475 | 04-03 04:40 |