Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$143
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
10,002
lifetime
Volume
$1.00M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$12.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
79%
Other
18%
Politics
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -820 $-806 100¢ $-819 $-13 06-02 02:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +860 $808 94¢ $810 +$2 06-06 05:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -800 $-791 100¢ $-799 $-9 06-26 01:06
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +874 $752 87¢ $760 +$8 06-29 17:03
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -744 $-699 94¢ $-703 $-4 06-04 01:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -680 $-635 100¢ $-678 $-43 06-02 19:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -650 $-601 100¢ $-649 $-47 06-02 00:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +740 $627 86¢ $633 +$6 06-11 09:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,240 $578 42¢ $527 $-51 06-23 02:30
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -440 $-421 95¢ $-419 +$2 06-09 15:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -440 $-392 94¢ $-411 $-20 06-01 22:17
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -397 $-372 96¢ $-380 $-8 05-31 17:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No +380 $342 90¢ $344 +$2 06-23 02:34
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +330 $310 94¢ $312 +$2 06-30 12:40
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +311 $280 93¢ $289 +$9 06-02 06:43
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +290 $280 96¢ $279 $-0 06-26 14:08
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +300 $279 92¢ $277 $-1 06-30 14:59
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? No +290 $277 95¢ $277 $-0 06-28 19:24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +310 $267 86¢ $268 +$2 06-24 21:53
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +280 $259 94¢ $263 +$4 06-17 10:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +305 $273 86¢ $261 $-12 06-25 23:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $252 86¢ $260 +$8 06-13 20:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +270 $252 94¢ $253 +$1 06-02 09:57
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -250 $-250 100¢ $-250 $-0 06-25 23:09
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -210 $-213 100¢ $-209 +$4 06-25 08:55
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +225 $207 92¢ $208 +$1 06-22 07:51
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +202 $197 98¢ $197 +$0 06-01 18:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -190 $-162 90¢ $-172 $-10 05-29 15:37
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +160 $134 100¢ $159 +$25 06-05 05:00
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -170 $-150 88¢ $-150 +$0 06-28 22:39