Realized P&L
+$14.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$526
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
1,519
Trades
195,533
lifetime
Volume
$27.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$5.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-15 16:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Politics
39%
78%
+$6,942
Other
37%
80%
+$1,831
Sports
20%
70%
+$3,720
Crypto
3%
65%
+$1,053
Tech
1%
73%
+$1,123
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk
• peak 12 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 7,446 | $1.99M | 1,070,536 | 985,136 | +85,400 | No | +$3,717 | 03-04 17:18 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 3,192 | $1.02M | 523,080 | 528,763 | -5,683 | No | -$134 | 01-27 14:11 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 2,574 | $670.8K | 366,419 | 347,250 | +19,169 | No | +$1,359 | 03-30 12:22 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 2,224 | $462.6K | 259,125 | 227,632 | +31,493 | No | +$2,118 | 03-25 14:57 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 1,130 | $449.0K | 238,319 | 221,395 | +16,924 | No | +$426 | 01-31 11:42 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 2,252 | $433.5K | 222,222 | 221,457 | +765 | No | -$117 | 03-17 15:46 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 6,262 | $368.5K | 203,270 | 179,219 | +24,050 | No | +$752 | 04-17 08:50 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | 3,174 | $351.4K | 182,779 | 175,771 | +7,008 | No | +$274 | 01-30 11:50 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,960 | $350.7K | 184,957 | 175,470 | +9,488 | No | +$418 | 05-04 21:25 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | 1,849 | $339.5K | 171,700 | 171,337 | +363 | No | +$103 | 03-04 16:11 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 1,011 | $328.3K | 171,825 | 165,139 | +6,686 | No | +$283 | 03-31 06:12 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | 7,115 | $301.8K | 161,711 | 149,270 | +12,441 | No | +$415 | 02-27 13:22 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 950 | $300.4K | 158,327 | 154,817 | +3,510 | No | +$155 | 01-30 12:11 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 834 | $282.7K | 206,794 | 190,336 | +16,457 | Yes | +$2,619 | 03-02 10:44 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 1,320 | $276.6K | 151,745 | 135,826 | +15,919 | No | +$704 | 04-29 01:11 |
| will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282 | 1,312 | $273.0K | 151,157 | 127,094 | +24,063 | No | +$577 | 03-30 18:23 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 771 | $252.1K | 138,583 | 130,423 | +8,159 | No | +$6 | 01-30 07:12 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | 1,802 | $249.3K | 125,682 | 126,675 | -994 | No | +$40 | 04-09 22:23 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 1,014 | $237.9K | 134,765 | 133,522 | +1,243 | No | -$9 | 04-29 18:18 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | 1,422 | $223.5K | 115,170 | 110,842 | +4,328 | No | +$60 | 04-01 06:50 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 20 | $220.7K | 141,709 | 80,005 | +61,704 | No | +$435 | 06-03 22:11 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 646 | $215.8K | 109,076 | 123,951 | -14,876 | No | -$548 | 04-29 18:01 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | 2,540 | $207.3K | 115,428 | 97,444 | +17,983 | No | +$572 | 05-17 14:03 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 930 | $202.5K | 108,032 | 100,182 | +7,851 | No | +$208 | 05-18 01:23 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | 1,059 | $201.3K | 108,003 | 94,460 | +13,542 | No | +$137 | 03-04 16:07 |
| will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 824 | $200.6K | 106,007 | 104,917 | +1,089 | No | +$271 | 01-25 14:00 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 833 | $199.7K | 106,532 | 99,770 | +6,762 | No | +$73 | 03-30 16:46 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 895 | $199.0K | 107,245 | 94,346 | +12,899 | No | +$232 | 04-15 18:01 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 1,141 | $198.9K | 103,791 | 99,309 | +4,482 | No | +$118 | 03-25 12:09 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,015 | $190.4K | 99,918 | 94,492 | +5,426 | No | +$128 | 05-09 00:11 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||