Realized P&L
+$14.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$526
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
1,519
Trades
195,533
lifetime
Volume
$27.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$5.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-15 16:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Politics
39% 78% +$6,942
Other
37% 80% +$1,831
Sports
20% 70% +$3,720
Crypto
3% 65% +$1,053
Tech
1% 73% +$1,123
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +2,500 $2,465 98¢ $2.5K -$5 08-22 10:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,722 -$1,433 96¢ $-1654 -$221 05-16 14:00
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -936 -$207 67¢ $-626 -$419 04-28 19:11
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +179 $144 78¢ $141 -$4 07-25 08:43
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +134 $133 99¢ $133 $0 05-14 23:34
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +90 $89 100¢ $90 +$1 07-26 14:39
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +88 $87 100¢ $88 +$2 05-17 21:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +83 $72 92¢ $76 +$4 08-10 15:47
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No -65 -$48 79¢ $-51 -$3 05-03 08:53
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$5 0¢ $-9 -$4 07-24 03:37
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$22 0¢ $-6 +$16 07-22 18:38
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? No +6 $0 95¢ $6 +$6 08-02 14:03
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$5 0¢ $-4 +$1 07-24 03:37
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$2 0¢ $-4 -$1 07-24 03:37
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$7 0¢ $-4 +$4 07-24 03:36
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +3 $1 100¢ $3 +$1 07-23 20:51
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$3 0¢ $-2 +$2 07-24 03:39
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 07-24 03:39
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$2 0¢ $-2 +$0 07-24 15:47
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$3 0¢ $-2 +$2 07-24 03:40
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027 No +1 -$10 96¢ $1 +$11 07-29 15:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 -$45 82¢ $0 +$45 07-28 22:22
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 08-04 15:18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -0 -$2 99¢ $-0 +$2 07-30 16:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 -$28 98¢ $0 +$28 07-28 00:20
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 05-07 21:50
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 05-17 08:41
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 05-09 09:27
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 -$1 100¢ $0 +$1 07-26 00:44
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$1 05-12 13:34