Realized P&L (7d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$736
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
0
195,533 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$27.1M lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$5.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-15 16:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Politics
39% 78% +$6,951
Other
37% 80% +$1,835
Sports
20% 70% +$3,712
Crypto
3% 65% +$1,053
Tech
1% 73% +$1,123
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +2,500 $2,465 99¢ $2.5K +$2 08-22 10:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,722 -$1,433 98¢ $-1690 -$257 05-16 14:00
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -936 -$207 84¢ $-786 -$579 04-28 19:11
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +179 $144 78¢ $141 -$4 07-25 08:43
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +134 $133 99¢ $133 +$1 05-14 23:34
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +90 $89 100¢ $90 +$1 07-26 14:39
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +88 $87 100¢ $88 +$1 05-17 21:20
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No -65 -$48 92¢ $-60 -$12 05-03 08:53
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$5 0¢ $-11 -$6 07-24 03:37
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$7 0¢ $-9 -$1 07-24 03:36
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$5 0¢ $-6 -$1 07-24 15:47
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$2 0¢ $-6 -$4 07-24 03:37
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? No +6 $0 98¢ $6 +$6 08-02 14:03
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$5 0¢ $-4 +$1 07-24 03:37
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$22 0¢ $-4 +$19 07-22 18:38
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +3 $1 100¢ $3 +$1 07-23 20:51
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 07-24 03:39
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$2 0¢ $-2 +$0 07-24 15:46
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$2 0¢ $-2 +$0 07-24 15:46
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$2 0¢ $-2 +$0 07-24 15:47
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$3 0¢ $-2 +$2 07-24 03:40
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$3 0¢ $-2 +$2 07-24 03:39
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 -$10 96¢ $1 +$11 07-29 15:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 -$45 94¢ $0 +$45 07-28 22:22
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 08-04 15:18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -0 -$2 99¢ $-0 +$2 07-30 16:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 -$28 99¢ $0 +$28 07-28 00:20
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 05-17 08:41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 05-12 13:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 05-16 04:45