Rotating-Deathwatch 0x86eb13…c15864
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$86
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
183
Trades
408
lifetime
Volume
$13.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$992
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-08 01:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
48% 58% +$135
Politics
19% 47% -$260
Crypto
16% 93% +$46
Tech
11% 71% +$125
Sports
6% 36% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$44
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No -100 -$82 95¢ $-95 -$13 04-30 06:03
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $45 95¢ $95 +$50 06-19 01:16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $76 94¢ $94 +$18 05-28 14:20
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +100 $66 92¢ $92 +$26 05-25 19:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +100 $49 92¢ $92 +$42 05-28 16:01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $68 85¢ $85 +$17 05-20 17:19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $79 68¢ $68 -$12 06-02 14:04
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +50 $43 95¢ $47 +$4 06-01 07:49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +50 $38 91¢ $46 +$8 07-05 23:42
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $38 84¢ $42 +$4 07-07 21:50
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +40 $37 97¢ $39 +$2 05-25 18:13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +50 $23 68¢ $34 +$11 06-03 08:04
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +50 $24 44¢ $22 -$2 06-20 14:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$1 05-25 07:47
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +20 $16 95¢ $19 +$3 05-03 03:32
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +20 $12 93¢ $19 +$6 06-19 05:53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +50 $20 32¢ $16 -$4 07-06 18:45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 80¢ $16 +$1 05-27 02:03
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $27 32¢ $16 -$11 07-06 15:08
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $55 11¢ $11 -$44 06-05 08:53
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 05-21 06:43
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -100 -$22 7¢ $-7 +$15 05-07 05:00
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +5 $2 97¢ $5 +$3 05-26 15:25
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $48 3¢ $3 -$45 06-18 21:42