Realized P&L
-$59
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
39.7%
Resolved
221
Trades
1,891
lifetime
Volume
$1.38K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
11 positions
First seen
2026-06-26
last 11-01 15:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
56% 52% -$31
Politics
38% 52% -$8
Sports
3% 39% -$6
Tech
2% 50% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +11 $4 54¢ $6 +$2 10-27 06:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$0 10-25 23:32
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +9 $2 28¢ $3 +$1 10-02 15:52
US recession by end of 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 09-16 04:53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 09-21 13:04
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-31 21:48
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 10-14 04:41
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 09-14 01:33
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +56 $1 1¢ $1 $0 11-01 15:28
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 55¢ $1 $0 09-23 04:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 07-18 09:43