Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
366
lifetime
Volume
$305
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$36
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-26
last 07-21 06:33
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
63%
Politics
37%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +7 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 07-16 15:17
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +7 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 07-19 21:55
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $4 $-0 07-19 06:41
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +4 $4 97¢ $4 +$0 07-11 10:54
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $3 $-0 07-17 20:06
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +3 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 07-02 17:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $-0 07-20 21:21
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $-0 07-18 11:11
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-14 07:24
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-02 11:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-21 06:33
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 07-17 12:44
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 07-19 06:42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 07-18 09:43