Separate-Beef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

-$179

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$21.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$461

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-11 12:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

73% — —

Other

25% 0% $-77

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-30

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	+5,406	$600	8¢	$422	$-178	06-11 14:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+118	$20	16¢	$18	$-2	06-08 12:33
Revolut IPO before 2027?	Yes	+125	$10	10¢	$13	+$3	05-27 23:04
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	+47	$10	18¢	$8	$-2	06-01 22:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$2.1K	23,887	5,554	+18,333	open	—	04-08 17:20
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 20 2026	6	$1.5K	837	837	+0	open	—	03-23 20:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$1.5K	1,330	1,330	+0	open	—	03-24 00:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$920	2,112	986	+1,126	open	—	04-07 23:10
us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	2	$839	488	488	+0	open	—	03-23 20:07
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	4	$836	1,418	1,410	+8	open	—	03-24 17:35
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	2	$641	429	429	+0	open	—	03-20 19:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$640	676	676	+0	open	—	03-24 17:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$633	411	411	+0	open	—	03-20 18:09
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$620	1,137	1,137	+0	open	—	03-18 12:36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$612	411	411	+0	open	—	03-24 00:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	5	$600	5,406	0	+5,406	open	—	06-11 14:08
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	5	$600	2,833	0	+2,833	open	—	04-20 14:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$514	1,742	1,742	+0	open	—	03-23 20:09
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$495	884	606	+278	open	—	04-13 20:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$456	256	256	+0	open	—	05-03 03:13
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 19 2026	4	$448	287	287	+0	open	—	03-20 20:01
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$425	319	319	+0	open	—	03-20 18:10
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	2	$388	741	741	+0	open	—	03-17 19:55
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	4	$359	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	04-29 19:34
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	6	$348	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	04-21 20:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$300	709	0	+709	open	—	05-09 19:20
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	2	$297	247	247	+0	open	—	04-07 23:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$291	378	378	+0	open	—	04-21 05:49
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	2	$243	150	150	+0	open	—	04-07 22:48
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$236	148	148	+0	open	—	04-23 11:47
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	2	$230	297	297	+0	open	—	03-17 19:42
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$227	333	333	+0	open	—	03-23 20:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$218	201	197	+4	open	—	04-23 11:47
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026?	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	04-08 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:31:10	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	Yes	BUY	256	23¢	$60	0x0796b3…
06-11 14:29:10	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	Yes	BUY	311	6¢	$20	0x9e4d65…
06-11 14:08:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,515	8¢	$200	0x6f1e43…
06-11 12:27:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	775	13¢	$100	0x3e74c3…
06-11 12:27:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	754	13¢	$100	0xf2d264…
06-11 12:26:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	681	15¢	$100	0x3dcd4c…
06-11 12:26:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	681	15¢	$100	0x269769…
06-08 12:34:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xee41c0…
06-08 12:33:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x7cb890…
06-08 12:33:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x69384e…
06-03 07:55:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	350	57¢	$200	0x974f93…
06-03 07:54:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	BUY	116	26¢	$30	0xd9c890…
06-03 07:54:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x90d6c4…
06-02 12:15:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xb740d1…
06-02 12:15:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xff9824…
06-01 22:13:39	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5a5319…
06-01 22:11:44	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xb46184…
06-01 22:10:01	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	97	9¢	$9	0xcfd26b…
05-27 23:04:04	Revolut IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x707cff…
05-27 23:01:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x0ca25a…
05-26 22:31:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x9e7fca…
05-26 22:29:47	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	344	3¢	$10	0xde4715…
05-26 22:26:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x421be6…
05-26 22:26:38	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	6¢	$10	0x239b8f…
05-26 22:26:03	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	199	5¢	$10	0x41cf36…
05-09 19:21:07	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x07cfa2…
05-09 19:20:57	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x141a67…
05-09 19:20:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	526	4¢	$20	0x029c9f…
05-09 19:20:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x8088f9…
05-09 19:20:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	709	42¢	$300	0xb5e4a4…
05-09 19:20:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	741	27¢	$200	0x0b1304…
05-09 19:20:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x07c804…
05-06 20:53:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	22¢	$26	0x4e7257…
05-06 20:52:49	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x4f642b…
05-06 20:52:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0x615001…
05-06 19:09:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x1cf7f2…
05-03 03:15:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x2cdc7f…
05-03 03:13:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$256	0xddd23d…
04-29 19:35:56	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	680	2¢	$11	0x33e55a…
04-29 19:34:02	Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	Yes	SELL	630	0¢	$1	0x45a030…
04-29 19:31:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0xe1dd01…
04-29 19:31:14	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	136	0¢	$1	0x639287…
04-29 19:30:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	964	0¢	$3	0x587f02…
04-29 19:30:12	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	885	1¢	$8	0xc0dea0…
04-23 11:47:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	197	60¢	$118	0x387349…
04-23 11:47:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	231	23¢	$53	0xbd4cf2…
04-23 11:47:20	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	92¢	$136	0x5796d0…
04-23 11:45:18	Will Trump say "Alien Dot Gov" or "Aliens Dot Gov" in April?	Yes	SELL	63	31¢	$19	0x1ecfcb…
04-23 11:44:28	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	Yes	SELL	208	3¢	$6	0x606803…
04-21 20:30:24	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0xa62957…
04-21 20:29:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xee1e87…
04-21 20:29:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x2405ed…
04-21 20:20:08	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	787	1¢	$9	0xe4871d…
04-21 20:18:36	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	174	53¢	$91	0x88f1b1…
04-21 14:43:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	60¢	$81	0x584ca5…
04-21 05:50:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x7a3ee0…
04-21 05:49:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	378	24¢	$91	0x52381c…
04-20 18:49:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xa37d72…
04-20 14:05:42	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	945	11¢	$100	0x417878…
04-20 10:56:46	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0xf455b8…
04-20 10:55:34	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	19¢	$12	0x363ffb…
04-19 22:16:56	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x4d99ea…
04-19 22:16:46	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0xc6abbe…
04-19 22:13:42	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	571	3¢	$20	0x1ed3fa…
04-19 22:13:04	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	Yes	SELL	305	3¢	$10	0x8b6ff9…
04-19 22:12:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	176	28¢	$50	0x2f8aae…
04-19 22:11:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x19e066…
04-19 22:11:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x96eb1d…
04-19 22:06:10	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	716	28¢	$200	0xb3e197…
04-19 20:59:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	378	53¢	$200	0x0b342b…
04-19 18:39:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x5ed7c6…
04-19 18:39:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xde6bd5…
04-19 18:32:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xbaefdc…
04-19 18:22:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,250	2¢	$30	0xd554fb…
04-18 17:42:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x37c024…
04-18 17:42:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0xce2e9d…
04-18 17:41:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,283	2¢	$30	0x8e472b…
04-18 17:41:12	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x1e9993…
04-18 17:38:38	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0x675147…
04-18 17:36:14	Will Trump say "Alien Dot Gov" or "Aliens Dot Gov" in April?	Yes	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0xcf9cba…
04-18 17:33:58	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	Yes	BUY	305	7¢	$20	0xcde917…
04-18 17:33:08	Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xe74eb8…
04-18 17:27:30	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0xecabff…
04-18 17:26:08	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	97	21¢	$20	0xabb354…
04-18 17:25:42	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x66b666…
04-18 17:24:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x1d45b9…
04-18 17:22:52	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	502	20¢	$100	0x4b219c…
04-14 18:12:44	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	589	17¢	$100	0xbb84ed…
04-14 18:12:14	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x12157d…
04-14 18:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x8b4dff…
04-13 20:09:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0xe5a352…
04-13 19:52:43	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	762	9¢	$69	0x1d0950…
04-13 19:47:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	116	26¢	$30	0x8ea505…
04-13 19:47:43	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x7b84f1…
04-13 19:47:33	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	308	6¢	$20	0x0b1edb…
04-13 19:43:31	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,156	1¢	$24	0xb225bb…
04-13 19:43:11	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	346	29¢	$100	0xdc4338…
04-13 19:42:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	333	24¢	$79	0xd1270c…
04-13 19:41:57	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	594	17¢	$100	0xca5d0d…
04-13 19:41:33	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	429	2¢	$10	0xe31a1b…