Realized P&L
-$7.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
28
Trades
347
lifetime
Volume
$43.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$125
Open exposure
$13.5K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 11:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
75% 48% -$6,488
Politics
21% 50% -$962
Tech
2% 100% +$453
Crypto
1% 50% -$10
Sports
1% 0% -$198
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +5,571 $5,010 90¢ $5.0K -$24 10-12 12:28
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2,080 $2,000 96¢ $2.0K +$8 10-12 05:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,005 $1,858 94¢ $1.9K +$16 10-14 14:21
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1,000 $940 96¢ $960 +$20 10-12 06:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +659 $600 92¢ $603 +$3 10-12 09:04
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +604 $565 95¢ $575 +$10 10-18 19:44
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +800 $500 56¢ $451 -$49 09-29 05:43
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +400 $380 98¢ $394 +$14 10-12 22:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +417 $382 92¢ $386 +$4 10-12 17:30
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +435 $378 88¢ $385 +$7 10-12 06:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +345 $300 87¢ $300 +$0 10-12 09:09
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +200 $191 97¢ $193 +$2 10-13 17:05
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +150 $135 92¢ $137 +$2 10-13 20:41
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 92¢ $101 +$1 10-12 08:58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +100 $87 91¢ $91 +$4 09-23 05:58
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +75 $50 64¢ $47 -$3 10-12 05:35
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +40 $35 90¢ $36 +$1 10-21 14:37