(anonymous) 0x2ac9c8…4b8469 Create alert
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$246
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
39
Trades
411
lifetime
Volume
$48.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$13.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
75% 41% -$6,571
Politics
21% 86% -$764
Tech
2% 100% +$453
Crypto
1% 50% -$10
Sports
1% 0% -$198
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +5,571 $5,010 90¢ $5.0K -$24 10-12 12:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,005 $1,858 98¢ $2.0K +$99 10-14 14:21
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1,000 $940 98¢ $981 +$41 10-12 06:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +800 $585 80¢ $641 +$56 11-12 04:00
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +604 $565 96¢ $580 +$15 10-18 19:44
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? Yes +721 $550 77¢ $555 +$5 10-12 05:36
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +400 $380 98¢ $390 +$10 10-12 22:28
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +435 $378 86¢ $377 -$1 10-12 06:09
Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election? Yes +391 $300 83¢ $325 +$25 09-29 05:43
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +345 $300 91¢ $313 +$13 10-12 09:09
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes +301 $267 86¢ $260 -$7 11-07 00:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +200 $192 98¢ $196 +$4 11-10 03:43
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $192 97¢ $194 +$2 11-05 13:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $172 86¢ $171 -$1 11-11 14:57
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +200 $176 84¢ $168 -$8 10-13 17:50
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? Yes +200 $158 80¢ $161 +$3 10-14 16:09
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes +150 $140 94¢ $141 +$2 11-08 03:36
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? Yes +125 $100 95¢ $119 +$19 09-29 05:44
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +150 $119 78¢ $116 -$3 11-10 04:35
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 96¢ $105 +$5 10-12 08:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $158 53¢ $105 -$53 11-05 12:17
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +100 $87 97¢ $97 +$10 09-23 05:58
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $94 96¢ $96 +$2 11-12 04:45
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? Yes +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 11-07 05:49
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +100 $83 94¢ $94 +$10 11-06 07:16
Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31? No +100 $85 92¢ $92 +$7 11-07 10:43
Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026? No +100 $85 80¢ $80 -$4 11-10 07:39
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027? No +80 $70 84¢ $67 -$2 11-10 14:45
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +75 $50 64¢ $48 -$2 10-12 05:35
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election? Yes +50 $28 94¢ $47 +$20 10-15 04:57