Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$155
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
347 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$43.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$125
Open exposure
$13.7K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 11:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
75% 48% -$6,488
Politics
21% 50% -$962
Tech
2% 100% +$453
Crypto
1% 50% -$10
Sports
1% 0% -$198
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +5,571 $5,010 90¢ $5.0K -$24 10-12 12:28
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2,080 $2,000 98¢ $2.0K +$48 10-12 05:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,005 $1,858 96¢ $1.9K +$57 10-14 14:21
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1,000 $940 96¢ $960 +$20 10-12 06:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +659 $600 94¢ $623 +$23 10-12 09:04
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +604 $565 95¢ $572 +$7 10-18 19:44
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +800 $500 60¢ $478 -$22 09-29 05:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +417 $382 94¢ $394 +$12 10-12 17:30
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +435 $378 88¢ $385 +$7 10-12 06:09
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +400 $380 96¢ $384 +$4 10-12 22:28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +345 $300 87¢ $302 +$2 10-12 09:09
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +200 $191 98¢ $197 +$5 10-13 17:05
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +150 $135 94¢ $142 +$7 10-13 20:41
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 93¢ $102 +$2 10-12 08:58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +100 $87 92¢ $92 +$6 09-23 05:58
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +75 $50 66¢ $50 $0 10-12 05:35
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +40 $35 92¢ $37 +$2 10-21 14:37