Realized P&L (90d)
-$754
Unrealized P&L
+$239
Hit rate
74.2%
Resolved (90d)
8
Trades (90d)
94
359 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$18.3K
$44.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$11.4K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 15:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
74% 48% -$6,488
Politics
22% 86% -$764
Tech
2% 100% +$453
Crypto
1% 50% -$10
Sports
1% 0% -$198
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +5,571 $5,010 90¢ $5.0K -$24 10-12 12:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,005 $1,858 98¢ $2.0K +$108 10-14 14:21
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1,000 $940 97¢ $974 +$34 10-12 06:08
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +604 $565 96¢ $580 +$15 10-18 19:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +600 $430 80¢ $479 +$49 11-06 06:40
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +400 $380 98¢ $393 +$13 10-12 22:28
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +435 $378 88¢ $381 +$3 10-12 06:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +345 $300 88¢ $303 +$3 10-12 09:09
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes +300 $266 89¢ $267 +$2 11-06 07:46
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +233 $200 98¢ $228 +$28 09-29 05:43
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $192 96¢ $192 +$1 11-05 13:06
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? Yes +125 $100 94¢ $118 +$18 09-29 05:44
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $158 55¢ $110 -$48 11-05 12:17
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 94¢ $103 +$3 10-12 08:58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +100 $87 97¢ $97 +$10 09-23 05:58
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +100 $83 86¢ $86 +$4 11-06 07:16
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +75 $50 70¢ $52 +$2 10-12 05:35
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election? Yes +50 $28 92¢ $46 +$19 10-15 04:57
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +40 $35 92¢ $37 +$2 10-21 14:37
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +26 $23 89¢ $23 +$0 11-05 18:30
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 11-06 15:49