Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

2,526

Trades

6,261

lifetime

Volume

$81.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-27 03:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 62% -$2,219

Other

7% 33% +$11

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 469 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes		+185	$14	5¢	$9	-$5	07-27 06:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$5.9K	12,483	12,483	+0	No	-$97	01-28 08:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 23:00 UTC	2	$710	864	0	+864	Up	-$710	01-16 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 22:45 UTC	1	$661	739	0	+739	Up	+$78	01-16 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	8	$640	960	0	+960	Up	-$208	08-05 14:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 14:15 UTC	10	$610	960	0	+960	Down	-$82	08-05 14:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 14:30 UTC	5	$515	816	0	+816	Up	+$13	08-05 14:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 09:30 UTC	41	$454	705	0	+705	Up	+$31	01-15 09:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 07:00 UTC	2	$400	417	0	+417	Down	+$17	01-16 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	10	$368	528	0	+528	Up	-$368	08-04 23:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 14:00 UTC	25	$368	528	0	+528	Down	+$160	08-03 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 20:30 UTC	12	$368	528	0	+528	Down	+$160	08-05 20:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 06:00 UTC	27	$366	528	0	+528	Down	+$162	08-06 06:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:00 UTC	3	$357	528	0	+528	Up	+$171	08-06 16:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 15:00 UTC	3	$329	528	0	+528	Down	+$199	08-03 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 17:00 UTC	11	$328	432	0	+432	Down	-$328	08-06 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$325	518	0	+518	Down	+$193	10-05 16:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:30 UTC	5	$312	496	0	+496	Up	+$40	08-04 23:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:45 UTC	6	$305	480	0	+480	Up	-$89	08-03 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 13:30 UTC	10	$304	480	0	+480	Up	-$40	08-04 13:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 14:00 UTC	6	$300	480	0	+480	Up	-$84	08-05 14:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:15 UTC	18	$297	432	0	+432	Down	-$297	08-04 23:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	1	$291	470	0	+470	Up	+$179	09-24 11:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 13:15 UTC	1	$287	424	0	+424	Down	+$137	09-25 13:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 14:45 UTC	6	$281	480	0	+480	Up	-$65	08-03 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 20:15 UTC	14	$267	392	0	+392	Up	-$51	08-05 20:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 13:45 UTC	11	$249	352	0	+352	Down	+$103	08-04 13:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 18:30 UTC	1	$229	342	0	+342	Up	+$113	09-25 18:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 17:30 UTC	20	$227	336	0	+336	Up	+$37	08-03 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$218	343	0	+343	Up	+$124	09-22 19:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 17:15 UTC	1	$214	315	0	+315	Down	+$101	09-24 17:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	126	55¢	$69	0x871704…
10-27 02:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	79	68¢	$54	0x2d3bc9…
10-27 02:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xd60dba…
10-27 02:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x629830…
10-27 01:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5944e2…
10-27 01:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x3a7fe7…
10-27 00:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x4ac2b0…
10-27 00:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2f2572…
10-26 19:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0xaa9e84…
10-26 19:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xcd3ae9…
10-26 19:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x1dfce8…
10-26 18:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	86	64¢	$55	0xfa49b0…
10-26 18:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x349a71…
10-26 17:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xcbde68…
10-26 17:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xa6b2a7…
10-26 16:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x37826a…
10-26 16:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xca9dec…
10-26 15:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0xf045e1…
10-26 15:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x58f30d…
10-26 14:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x4776ce…
10-26 14:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xb3119d…
10-26 13:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3913df…
10-26 13:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xf51013…
10-26 12:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	79	72¢	$57	0x393c51…
10-26 09:06:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	62¢	$27	0x6ffb4b…
10-26 08:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x850735…
10-26 08:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xa2cd2d…
10-26 07:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x4ac505…
10-26 06:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	66¢	$23	0xda8a4f…
10-26 03:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x5879a9…
10-26 03:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe852f6…
10-26 03:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x658f8b…
10-26 02:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6e6ecf…
10-26 02:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0x2c73e1…
10-26 02:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x8acb21…
10-26 01:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x748de6…
10-26 01:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x6dc23b…
10-26 01:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x7bd848…
10-26 01:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x52897f…
10-26 00:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x9e4955…
10-26 00:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x3642fc…
10-25 23:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xaa9835…
10-25 22:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x1969d1…
10-25 22:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdffd6b…
10-25 21:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x79ef9b…
10-25 20:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$6	0x209738…
10-25 18:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xe54687…
10-25 17:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x0f4021…
10-25 09:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0xc2902f…
10-25 06:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x0a467e…
10-24 23:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x5b7a94…
10-24 19:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x54fdea…
10-24 18:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x7cea9c…
10-24 17:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xb4d271…
10-24 17:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x3c8655…
10-24 16:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x31ee15…
10-24 16:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x9bf5b7…
10-24 15:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x852796…
10-24 15:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	73	70¢	$51	0xd72afc…
10-24 14:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xe15a3b…
10-24 13:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x1eb463…
10-24 10:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xe63614…
10-24 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x2c7f06…
10-24 01:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$7	0xb37836…
10-24 01:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x77cdea…
10-24 00:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd0a9be…
10-24 00:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$13	0x58bd4e…
10-23 23:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2fb045…
10-23 21:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x756a47…
10-23 19:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xbb3b4f…
10-23 19:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x7ec5e2…
10-23 16:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xe7b9f1…
10-23 16:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	62¢	$26	0x32ba50…
10-23 15:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa7e432…
10-23 15:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xb5aa4b…
10-23 14:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xc2a5de…
10-23 14:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0xe255f1…
10-23 14:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xb69521…
10-23 13:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xb0f361…
10-23 13:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xcfbd45…
10-23 12:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x641f50…
10-23 12:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xc30064…
10-23 11:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	64¢	$14	0xc309c1…
10-23 10:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xc22d00…
10-23 09:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x114579…
10-23 08:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x4d2866…
10-23 02:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$13	0x326fd5…
10-23 02:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd00811…
10-23 01:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x406e3e…
10-23 01:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x854e97…
10-23 00:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x799ff3…
10-22 21:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x16f95a…
10-22 19:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x2664c8…
10-22 19:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x8ede55…
10-22 17:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x79a7ef…
10-22 15:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xde0385…
10-22 15:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	63	68¢	$43	0x04b3a3…
10-22 14:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x398bde…
10-22 14:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x5423bc…
10-22 14:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xc4cfd0…