Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$159

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved (7d)

236

Trades (7d)

236

6,652 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.53K

$86.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-09 22:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 62% -$2,103

Other

7% 33% +$11

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes		+185	$14	4¢	$7	-$6	07-27 06:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$5.9K	12,483	12,483	+0	No	-$97	01-28 08:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 23:00 UTC	2	$710	864	0	+864	Up	-$710	01-16 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 22:45 UTC	1	$661	739	0	+739	Up	+$78	01-16 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	8	$640	960	0	+960	Up	-$208	08-05 14:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 14:15 UTC	10	$610	960	0	+960	Down	-$82	08-05 14:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 14:30 UTC	5	$515	816	0	+816	Up	+$13	08-05 14:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 09:30 UTC	41	$454	705	0	+705	Up	+$31	01-15 09:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 07:00 UTC	2	$400	417	0	+417	Down	+$17	01-16 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	10	$368	528	0	+528	Up	-$368	08-04 23:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 14:00 UTC	25	$368	528	0	+528	Down	+$160	08-03 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 20:30 UTC	12	$368	528	0	+528	Down	+$160	08-05 20:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 06:00 UTC	27	$366	528	0	+528	Down	+$162	08-06 06:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:00 UTC	3	$357	528	0	+528	Up	+$171	08-06 16:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 15:00 UTC	3	$329	528	0	+528	Down	+$199	08-03 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 17:00 UTC	11	$328	432	0	+432	Down	-$328	08-06 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$325	518	0	+518	Down	+$193	10-05 16:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:30 UTC	5	$312	496	0	+496	Up	+$40	08-04 23:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:45 UTC	6	$305	480	0	+480	Up	-$89	08-03 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 13:30 UTC	10	$304	480	0	+480	Up	-$40	08-04 13:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 14:00 UTC	6	$300	480	0	+480	Up	-$84	08-05 14:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:15 UTC	18	$297	432	0	+432	Down	-$297	08-04 23:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	1	$291	470	0	+470	Up	+$179	09-24 11:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 13:15 UTC	1	$287	424	0	+424	Down	+$137	09-25 13:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 14:45 UTC	6	$281	480	0	+480	Up	-$65	08-03 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 20:15 UTC	14	$267	392	0	+392	Up	-$51	08-05 20:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 13:45 UTC	11	$249	352	0	+352	Down	+$103	08-04 13:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 18:30 UTC	1	$229	342	0	+342	Up	+$113	09-25 18:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 17:30 UTC	20	$227	336	0	+336	Up	+$37	08-03 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$218	343	0	+343	Up	+$124	09-22 19:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 17:15 UTC	1	$214	315	0	+315	Down	+$101	09-24 17:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 22:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xa2a640…
11-09 22:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xaeec48…
11-09 21:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x3095ce…
11-09 21:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0x0bf711…
11-09 21:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xabc19f…
11-09 20:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x426225…
11-09 19:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x088fe8…
11-09 19:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x10a6bb…
11-09 18:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x5c560f…
11-09 18:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xf5b746…
11-09 17:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x381148…
11-09 17:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x58cda5…
11-09 16:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd3c45c…
11-09 16:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x2f6d5c…
11-09 15:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf5d11a…
11-09 15:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xba5c06…
11-09 11:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xf2b077…
11-09 10:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x85195e…
11-09 09:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x54fd53…
11-09 09:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x98d717…
11-09 09:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xfacf20…
11-09 08:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	73¢	$27	0xb6c627…
11-09 08:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xd7fd8f…
11-09 07:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xbd7126…
11-09 06:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xfe24af…
11-09 06:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x7cbbdb…
11-09 05:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xe2623a…
11-09 05:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xadf901…
11-09 04:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	79	67¢	$52	0x7d12c9…
11-09 04:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	68¢	$26	0x8db602…
11-09 04:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x0d4607…
11-09 03:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x5b6a2e…
11-09 03:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xc18c46…
11-09 02:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x40c0ea…
11-09 02:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0xf31894…
11-09 01:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x579121…
11-09 01:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x893e10…
11-09 01:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc919ca…
11-09 01:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0818b4…
11-09 00:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0xebe8ad…
11-09 00:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	71¢	$14	0x48730d…
11-09 00:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x870e98…
11-09 00:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x1dac1d…
11-08 23:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb6b56d…
11-08 23:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xbc9c66…
11-08 22:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x3fb61d…
11-08 22:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x6598b4…
11-08 22:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x08c64c…
11-08 02:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	58¢	$11	0xd36c58…
11-07 23:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x208d9d…
11-07 16:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x4e1f65…
11-07 09:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x64c44f…
11-06 22:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0xbe5c66…
11-06 21:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x698b7d…
11-06 19:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe3be8a…
11-06 19:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x65b1c4…
11-06 19:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$7	0x6671c8…
11-06 18:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	68¢	$28	0x8093b7…
11-06 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x487e5f…
11-06 17:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xfa6aa1…
11-06 17:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	65¢	$13	0x474d9a…
11-06 17:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x31854b…
11-06 17:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0xdfc846…
11-06 16:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xbedf96…
11-06 16:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xdce4e9…
11-06 16:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x6b2846…
11-06 15:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xadcae2…
11-06 15:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xed9142…
11-06 15:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	81	56¢	$45	0x8077b8…
11-06 15:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	66¢	$23	0x92120d…
11-06 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x8cdfe8…
11-06 14:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9e1329…
11-06 13:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcb934a…
11-06 13:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x51c30e…
11-06 13:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x890d3a…
11-06 12:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4e135e…
11-06 11:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xb14336…
11-06 11:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x9279d6…
11-06 10:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	119	71¢	$85	0x5f82cf…
11-06 10:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	78	58¢	$45	0x45c6fb…
11-06 10:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	63¢	$27	0xb8f14e…
11-06 09:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	71¢	$14	0x442c51…
11-06 08:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4e1a78…
11-06 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0xa96761…
11-06 07:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xaf9319…
11-06 06:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6fd1cc…
11-06 05:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xa9a60a…
11-06 05:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xdd5aa1…
11-06 04:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x37e381…
11-06 04:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xdc967c…
11-06 04:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0x3b453b…
11-06 03:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$13	0x419481…
11-06 03:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x58270a…
11-06 02:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x720359…
11-06 02:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0x224f46…
11-06 02:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb75b97…
11-06 01:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	59¢	$6	0x4aef7c…
11-06 01:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xa43381…
11-06 01:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xd6900d…
11-06 00:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb55dcf…