Realized P&L
-$3.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.84K
Hit rate
10.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,238
lifetime
Volume
$1.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$490
Open exposure
$66.6K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
55% 33% $-3,461
Other
38%
Crypto
7%
Sports
1% 100% +$278
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30,887 $-18,975 55¢ $-16834 +$2,141 06-04 00:28
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +11,192 $10,802 97¢ $10.8K +$26 06-08 10:41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,895 $8,122 82¢ $9.0K +$867 06-02 16:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +6,053 $5,827 98¢ $5.9K +$78 06-01 10:15
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -6,710 $-4,543 70¢ $-4697 $-154 06-09 16:43
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6,043 $3,864 73¢ $4.4K +$547 06-05 20:28
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +4,146 $3,582 86¢ $3.5K $-38 06-10 06:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8,862 $-5,121 37¢ $-3279 +$1,842 06-02 08:45
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +1,363 $1,322 97¢ $1.3K +$5 06-01 18:02
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +1,473 $1,238 84¢ $1.2K +$7 06-09 16:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,000 $830 90¢ $895 +$65 06-01 13:06
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 $-670 75¢ $-750 $-80 06-06 07:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +650 $636 99¢ $642 +$6 06-08 10:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No -2,922 $-1,351 20¢ $-599 +$751 06-05 16:44
Megaquake by June 30? No +627 $552 92¢ $580 +$28 06-08 08:36
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? No -2,517 $-1,148 18¢ $-466 +$683 06-05 18:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +510 $423 90¢ $461 +$38 06-01 15:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? No +447 $412 97¢ $432 +$20 06-05 16:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +400 $381 96¢ $384 +$3 05-30 13:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +381 $305 82¢ $311 +$6 06-01 19:05
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +46 $43 98¢ $45 +$2 05-31 08:10
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +5 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 06-01 10:46