Realized P&L
-$3.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.64K
Hit rate
10.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,536
lifetime
Volume
$1.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$477
Open exposure
$105.5K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
51% 33% $-3,461
Other
41%
Crypto
7%
Sports
0% 100% +$278
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -21,243 $-21,187 100¢ $-21222 $-35 06-26 19:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30,887 $-18,975 55¢ $-16834 +$2,141 06-04 00:28
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +10,984 $10,807 100¢ $11.0K +$144 06-16 08:28
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,895 $8,122 88¢ $9.5K +$1,412 06-02 16:15
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +6,773 $5,734 86¢ $5.8K +$56 06-30 12:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5,510 $5,123 99¢ $5.5K +$356 06-20 14:28
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5,557 $4,688 88¢ $4.9K +$230 06-18 16:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6,043 $3,864 81¢ $4.9K +$1,030 06-05 20:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8,862 $-5,121 38¢ $-3323 +$1,798 06-02 08:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No +3,006 $2,961 100¢ $3.0K +$37 06-16 09:03
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026? No -2,917 $-2,912 99¢ $-2885 +$26 06-29 16:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +2,535 $2,317 100¢ $2.5K +$216 06-29 21:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -2,100 $-2,114 100¢ $-2097 +$17 06-30 07:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2,000 $1,700 90¢ $1.8K +$90 06-28 00:10
Megaquake by June 30? No +1,702 $1,582 99¢ $1.7K +$96 06-28 11:53
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1,634 $1,278 84¢ $1.4K +$86 06-19 11:06
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +1,363 $1,322 100¢ $1.4K +$39 06-01 18:02
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,512 $1,346 88¢ $1.3K $-8 06-26 08:05
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,131 $1,030 90¢ $1.0K $-6 06-27 19:22
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +1,000 $820 78¢ $775 $-45 06-29 15:26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 $-670 78¢ $-775 $-105 06-06 07:16
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +561 $577 99¢ $556 $-21 06-26 15:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? No +447 $412 100¢ $447 +$34 06-05 16:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +381 $305 88¢ $334 +$28 06-01 19:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +302 $238 80¢ $243 +$5 06-25 19:59
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +1,000 $203 22¢ $225 +$22 06-30 09:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +100 $85 82¢ $81 $-3 06-22 12:46
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +46 $43 100¢ $46 +$3 05-31 08:10