Blaring-Surge 0xcb894d…15a2e8
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.18K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.78K
Hit rate
10.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,826
lifetime
Volume
$1.36M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$481
Open exposure
$83.3K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
47% 33% $-3,461
Other
46% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$278
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30,887 $-18,975 80¢ $-24555 $-5,580 06-04 00:28
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9,823 $7,135 90¢ $8.9K +$1,754 07-16 17:19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +9,831 $8,432 86¢ $8.4K $-26 07-20 14:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8,862 $-5,121 68¢ $-6071 $-950 06-02 08:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5,000 $4,750 99¢ $4.9K +$192 07-08 17:08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6,043 $3,864 82¢ $4.9K +$1,060 06-05 20:28
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5,557 $4,688 86¢ $4.8K +$119 06-18 16:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4,430 $3,690 86¢ $3.8K +$141 07-07 09:10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4,000 $3,500 90¢ $3.6K +$80 07-05 13:16
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +3,703 $3,062 88¢ $3.2K +$178 07-13 10:02
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +2,675 $2,460 70¢ $1.9K $-574 07-18 15:04
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +1,948 $1,754 91¢ $1.8K +$18 07-19 19:07
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,512 $1,346 88¢ $1.3K $-15 06-26 08:05
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,131 $1,030 94¢ $1.1K +$28 06-27 19:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,000 $965 98¢ $976 +$11 07-10 21:33
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +1,061 $944 88¢ $929 $-15 07-15 14:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -776 $-484 90¢ $-694 $-210 07-12 16:34
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +556 $524 94¢ $521 $-4 07-15 11:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +381 $305 88¢ $334 +$28 06-01 19:05
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +312 $287 92¢ $286 $-2 07-19 21:12
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +100 $90 88¢ $88 $-2 07-15 18:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +100 $85 81¢ $81 $-4 06-22 12:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +90 $67 72¢ $65 $-1 07-20 15:49
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +46 $42 88¢ $40 $-2 07-15 16:33
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +23 $18 82¢ $19 +$1 07-05 12:15
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +3 $4 12¢ $0 $-3 07-01 10:45