(anonymous) 0xd4f710…6373bb
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
308
lifetime
Volume
$19.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$703
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-06 11:22
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56% — —
Politics
30% — —
Crypto
14% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +300 $237 90¢ $271 +$34 06-30 09:23
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +200 $180 95¢ $190 +$10 06-03 20:09
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +100 $77 86¢ $86 +$10 06-07 16:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +150 $61 54¢ $80 +$19 05-30 04:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +150 $58 32¢ $49 $-10 05-30 14:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +400 $44 6¢ $26 $-18 06-13 12:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-81 46¢ $0 +$81 06-25 13:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $156 14¢ $0 $-156 06-12 14:50