(anonymous) 0xd4f710…6373bb
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$136
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
269
lifetime
Volume
$16.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$1.40K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-14 14:31
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58% — —
Politics
35% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $140 99¢ $199 +$59 05-30 13:24
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +200 $180 93¢ $186 +$6 06-03 20:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $168 90¢ $181 +$13 05-28 16:10
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +200 $154 80¢ $161 +$7 06-13 09:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -200 $-164 80¢ $-161 +$3 06-01 14:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -150 $-129 96¢ $-144 $-15 06-01 01:41
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +100 $77 84¢ $84 +$6 06-07 16:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? Yes +250 $153 32¢ $81 $-72 06-14 14:31
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +150 $61 48¢ $71 +$10 05-30 04:40
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $12 20¢ $41 +$29 06-12 16:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +400 $44 10¢ $38 $-6 06-13 12:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +150 $58 18¢ $27 $-31 05-30 14:01
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes +158 $13 16¢ $25 +$11 06-02 13:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $156 12¢ $0 $-156 06-12 14:50