Realized P&L
-$242
Unrealized P&L
+$105
Hit rate
38.9%
Resolved
2
Trades
887
lifetime
Volume
$74.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$84
Open exposure
$749
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-11 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
67% 50% $-242
Other
32%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +300 $222 80¢ $242 +$20 05-31 20:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +700 $143 30¢ $210 +$67 06-11 17:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -300 $-197 62¢ $-184 +$13 06-06 04:40
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +100 $78 82¢ $82 +$4 06-01 23:47
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -35 $-30 82¢ $-29 +$1 05-31 05:51
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? Yes -6 $-1 20¢ $-1 +$0 06-05 08:46