Realized P&L
-$242
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
38.9%
Resolved
2
Trades
941
lifetime
Volume
$81.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$3.33K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 07-23 00:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
66% 50% $-242
Other
33%
Crypto
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,200 $884 70¢ $846 $-38 07-18 19:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,000 $-687 66¢ $-665 +$22 07-18 22:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +500 $377 86¢ $432 +$56 07-05 12:02
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -400 $-385 97¢ $-388 $-3 07-06 08:12
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -350 $-297 86¢ $-301 $-3 06-17 20:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -285 $-274 96¢ $-275 $-1 07-01 02:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +400 $216 58¢ $234 +$18 07-21 09:54
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +232 $189 83¢ $193 +$4 07-22 09:05
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? Yes -6 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-05 08:46