Realized P&L
-$242
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
38.9%
Resolved
2
Trades
901
lifetime
Volume
$76.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$948
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 07-01 02:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
66% 50% $-242
Other
32%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -350 $-297 84¢ $-292 +$5 06-17 20:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -285 $-274 97¢ $-276 $-2 07-01 02:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -300 $-197 64¢ $-193 +$4 06-06 04:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +700 $143 26¢ $186 +$42 06-11 17:48
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? Yes -6 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$1 06-05 08:46