Realized P&L
+$16.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$39.5K
Hit rate
94.6%
Resolved
13
Trades
16,943
lifetime
Volume
$6.05M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$357
Open exposure
$76.6K
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 06-10 00:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
76% 100% +$13,369
Other
24% 56% +$2,760
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Sports
0% 0% $-43
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 529 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -78,420 $-17,739 62¢ $-49012 $-31,273 05-29 15:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +123,104 $29,380 16¢ $20.3K $-9,067 06-10 00:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +16,521 $4,791 32¢ $5.4K +$578 06-05 07:03
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1,000 $560 64¢ $635 +$75 06-02 12:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,128 $350 36¢ $412 +$62 06-09 13:18
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +778 $367 52¢ $408 +$41 06-04 21:53
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? Yes -604 $-70 34¢ $-205 $-135 06-04 22:26
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -1,415 $-369 13¢ $-179 +$190 05-30 08:41
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +184 $22 16¢ $30 +$8 05-31 23:57