0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19c4…ee6402
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$155.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.3K
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
373
Trades
25,480
lifetime
Volume
$9.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$368
Open exposure
$300.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 10-27 12:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Politics
69% 55% +$75,754
Other
31% 65% +$68,681
Sports
0% 47% +$17,334
Crypto
0% 0% -$4,464
Tech
0% 33% -$1,584
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 389 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +70,000 $50,950 78¢ $54.9K +$4,000 10-27 14:23
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +95,750 $33,962 38¢ $36.8K +$2,854 10-26 13:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +39,560 $18,005 64¢ $25.2K +$7,195 10-26 23:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +28,649 $17,817 68¢ $19.3K +$1,521 10-25 23:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +20,465 $18,784 94¢ $19.2K +$453 10-27 02:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +195,579 $22,909 10¢ $19.0K -$3,938 10-26 21:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +18,822 $13,451 94¢ $17.6K +$4,148 09-23 11:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +15,854 $13,159 98¢ $15.5K +$2,386 10-07 10:09
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,000 $13,530 86¢ $13.0K -$555 10-26 09:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +40,157 $10,038 26¢ $10.2K +$202 10-27 12:51
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -45,177 -$8,532 19¢ $-8697 -$165 05-25 22:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -27,846 -$8,608 28¢ $-7658 +$950 10-07 14:27
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +7,585 $6,144 82¢ $6.3K +$114 10-27 03:26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +108,448 $4,711 5¢ $5.6K +$875 10-08 13:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +30,850 $5,024 18¢ $5.6K +$545 10-25 17:52
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,711 $4,318 70¢ $5.4K +$1,041 10-24 14:27
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -188,290 -$4,606 3¢ $-4801 -$195 09-22 21:49
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +4,999 $4,340 90¢ $4.5K +$134 10-03 10:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +6,295 $4,337 67¢ $4.2K -$107 10-25 23:58
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,031 $4,128 78¢ $3.9K -$178 10-26 14:30
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +101,020 $2,524 3¢ $3.0K +$456 08-25 09:04
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,882 $2,856 72¢ $2.8K -$61 10-27 09:46
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +7,000 $2,240 30¢ $2.1K -$105 10-25 01:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +2,356 $1,813 86¢ $2.0K +$225 08-04 12:31
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -8,147 -$375 9¢ $-762 -$387 06-14 20:08
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +724 $562 96¢ $692 +$130 08-14 10:23
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +26,173 $497 2¢ $537 +$39 10-26 17:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -2,000 -$706 22¢ $-430 +$276 05-22 22:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6,630 -$1,015 6¢ $-408 +$607 09-16 09:57
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +25,114 $527 1¢ $339 -$188 08-10 17:02