Flawless-Turn 0xa93736…954152
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,479
lifetime
Volume
$8.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$242
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 07-23 00:31
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
55% — —
Other
36% — —
Sports
6% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +58 $44 70¢ $41 $-4 07-21 02:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +35 $31 90¢ $31 $-0 07-20 00:36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +30 $24 81¢ $24 +$0 07-10 05:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +18 $12 66¢ $12 $-0 07-19 23:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +20 $19 50¢ $10 $-9 07-20 11:46
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 07-13 10:19
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 07-08 04:19
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 +$0 07-04 18:11
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $-0 07-20 22:24
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +10 $9 85¢ $8 $-0 07-20 00:15
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +10 $8 79¢ $8 $-0 07-21 06:10
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-8 76¢ $-8 +$0 07-20 14:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -10 $-9 74¢ $-7 +$2 07-12 19:30
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +8 $5 90¢ $7 +$2 07-13 14:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 64¢ $6 +$0 07-07 13:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -10 $-5 64¢ $-6 $-1 07-21 16:39
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +10 $6 62¢ $6 +$1 07-14 12:46
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 71¢ $5 $-0 07-04 12:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +6 $8 74¢ $5 $-3 07-18 18:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10 $4 42¢ $4 +$1 07-16 17:00
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 $-0 07-04 09:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +8 $3 34¢ $3 $-0 07-06 07:21
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 30¢ $2 +$0 07-22 21:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +8 $2 26¢ $2 +$0 07-22 21:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 58¢ $1 $-0 07-13 05:23
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $1 $-0 07-13 10:45
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +8 $1 17¢ $1 $-0 07-21 20:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 07-15 19:00
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +10 $2 8¢ $1 $-1 06-07 01:13
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 07-13 05:55