(anonymous) 0xad5cbd…51b927
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
164
lifetime
Volume
$549
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$137
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-22 18:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64% — —
Politics
36% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-17 18:42
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-15 00:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-12 05:44
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-30 15:02
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-07 15:13
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +6 $5 91¢ $5 +$0 06-22 23:59
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-01 20:11
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-19 21:42
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-08 10:54
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-28 11:57
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? Yes +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-22 18:45
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-12 15:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-06 08:53
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-30 14:59
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 07-14 08:58
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-08 23:32
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 07-16 06:56
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +6 $5 85¢ $5 $-0 07-20 00:15
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-13 16:42
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 07-14 05:58
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +6 $4 84¢ $5 +$0 05-31 20:49
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $5 +$0 06-16 07:25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 07-21 19:39
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +5 $4 85¢ $4 $-0 06-22 17:20
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 07-08 11:47
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$0 07-02 17:42
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-22 01:09
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 07-21 07:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$0 07-21 15:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-19 09:28