Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
93
lifetime
Volume
$328
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$120
25 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-02 00:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67%
Politics
33%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-17 18:42
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +7 $5 86¢ $6 +$1 06-12 11:51
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-08 11:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-10 21:08
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-30 15:02
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-15 00:50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-08 10:54
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-22 23:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-12 05:44
Trump out as President before 2027? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-12 14:48
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-10 12:51
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-28 11:57
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-02 17:35
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-30 14:59
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-01 20:11
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-07 00:11
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 06-13 16:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 06-06 08:53
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +6 $4 83¢ $5 +$0 05-31 20:49
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $5 +$0 06-16 07:25
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +5 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 06-22 17:20
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-25 13:55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +4 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 07-01 12:30
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-02 17:35
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-09 18:11