Realized P&L
+$18
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
116
Trades
450
lifetime
Volume
$1.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$155
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-01 13:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
53% 90% +$15
Other
44% 90% +$6
Sports
3% 20% -$3
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +6 $5 93¢ $6 +$1 07-25 07:27
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-22 23:59
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-08 23:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-06 08:53
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +6 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 05-31 20:49
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 05-29 19:34
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-14 05:58
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 07-20 00:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-12 05:44
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$1 07-29 00:31
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-15 00:50
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +6 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-18 23:57
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-24 20:36
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-23 16:26
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 07-23 11:53
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-08 22:18
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-30 14:59
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-01 20:11
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551 No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 07-08 07:20
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 07-07 19:47
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-07 12:08
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-27 20:56
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-29 07:11
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 06-13 16:42
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 07-26 14:13
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-22 18:49
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $0 07-16 06:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 $0 07-28 19:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +6 $5 77¢ $5 $0 07-23 08:09
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 06-16 07:25