Realized P&L
+$399
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
87.9%
Resolved
284
Trades
1,626
lifetime
Volume
$61.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$689
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 10-29 23:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
99% 82% +$396
Politics
1% 100% +$2
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? No +390 $387 100¢ $389 +$2 10-29 23:05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +129 $127 99¢ $127 +$0 10-29 23:04
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +108 $102 97¢ $105 +$2 10-13 22:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +55 $53 98¢ $54 +$1 10-09 01:25
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-09 22:02
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -5 -$9 91¢ $-5 +$4 09-07 19:01