Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
104
lifetime
Volume
$182
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$27
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-09 18:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
62%
Other
38%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 +$0 06-08 23:02
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 $-0 06-07 15:48
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 06-09 15:51
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -3 $-2 84¢ $-2 $-0 06-08 09:03
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 +$0 06-03 16:47
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $-0 06-09 14:05
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 $-0 06-08 22:54
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30? No +3 $2 69¢ $2 $-0 06-09 14:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $-0 62¢ $1 +$1 06-06 15:48
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-03 03:03
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-09 11:33
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-09 11:59
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-03 17:44
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 06-03 12:04
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 06-06 14:22