Realized P&L
+$109
Unrealized P&L
+$442
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
45
Trades
753
lifetime
Volume
$6.84K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$3.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 01:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
70% 78% +$156
Other
23% 60% -$51
Crypto
6% 67% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +462 $230 88¢ $404 +$174 10-25 22:17
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +380 $218 70¢ $264 +$47 10-27 01:01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +321 $176 70¢ $223 +$47 10-09 00:33
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +359 $244 62¢ $221 -$23 10-25 22:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +201 $164 92¢ $183 +$19 10-18 23:56
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +187 $90 84¢ $156 +$66 10-15 00:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +192 $126 68¢ $132 +$6 10-27 01:06
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,752 $157 1¢ $118 -$39 10-14 23:50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -126 -$129 92¢ $-115 +$14 10-25 22:52
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +136 $81 84¢ $114 +$33 10-27 00:59
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +117 $94 84¢ $99 +$5 10-25 21:47
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +152 $84 64¢ $98 +$14 10-27 01:05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +139 $95 68¢ $95 $0 10-15 00:31
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +82 $70 92¢ $75 +$5 09-30 00:44
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +112 $66 64¢ $72 +$6 09-30 00:43
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +91 $59 74¢ $67 +$9 10-25 22:06
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -67 -$67 97¢ $-65 +$2 07-09 01:17
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +65 $58 86¢ $56 -$2 10-27 01:07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +73 $31 66¢ $48 +$17 06-17 03:30
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +58 $46 80¢ $47 +$1 10-15 00:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +65 $36 66¢ $43 +$7 10-18 23:54
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +50 $35 84¢ $42 +$7 09-15 00:57
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +46 $38 90¢ $42 +$3 10-15 00:13
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +52 $41 78¢ $41 $0 10-27 00:40
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +61 $32 66¢ $40 +$8 10-25 22:14
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,631 $45 1¢ $39 -$6 10-14 23:50
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +39 $31 93¢ $37 +$6 09-30 00:42
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +43 $32 86¢ $36 +$4 10-09 00:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +217 $25 16¢ $35 +$10 08-21 00:47
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +56 $31 62¢ $35 +$4 10-15 00:29