Realized P&L
+$109
Unrealized P&L
+$552
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
45
Trades
809
lifetime
Volume
$9.00K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$4.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 16:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
74% 78% +$156
Other
21% 60% -$51
Crypto
5% 67% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -851 -$803 94¢ $-796 +$7 10-28 16:00
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +485 $250 86¢ $415 +$165 10-30 00:02
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +450 $264 70¢ $317 +$53 10-30 13:28
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +430 $253 70¢ $303 +$51 10-30 01:35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +391 $264 70¢ $271 +$7 10-28 23:59
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +305 $187 82¢ $248 +$62 10-30 01:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -257 -$239 94¢ $-243 -$4 10-28 20:31
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +236 $162 82¢ $195 +$33 10-29 23:51
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +220 $146 78¢ $171 +$25 10-29 00:02
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,752 $157 2¢ $153 -$4 10-14 23:50
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +153 $124 87¢ $133 +$8 10-29 02:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -126 -$129 94¢ $-118 +$12 10-25 22:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +152 $84 72¢ $109 +$24 10-27 01:05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +139 $95 78¢ $108 +$12 10-15 00:31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +139 $93 70¢ $98 +$5 10-29 01:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes -98 -$97 94¢ $-92 +$5 10-28 03:29
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +82 $70 93¢ $76 +$6 09-30 00:44
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +112 $66 64¢ $72 +$6 09-30 00:43
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +80 $65 84¢ $68 +$3 10-29 01:07
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +77 $61 85¢ $65 +$4 10-29 23:18
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -67 -$67 97¢ $-65 +$1 07-09 01:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +90 $52 72¢ $64 +$12 10-29 00:07
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +71 $57 88¢ $62 +$5 10-29 23:28
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +65 $58 92¢ $60 +$2 10-27 01:07
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +90 $55 65¢ $59 +$4 10-28 23:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +73 $31 72¢ $52 +$21 06-17 03:30
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +58 $50 88¢ $51 +$1 10-30 16:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +65 $36 72¢ $47 +$11 10-18 23:54
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +50 $35 87¢ $43 +$8 09-15 00:57
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +46 $38 93¢ $43 +$5 10-15 00:13