Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$457
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
77
777 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.43K
$8.50K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$4.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 03:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
76% 78% +$156
Other
19% 60% -$51
Crypto
5% 67% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -851 -$803 92¢ $-787 +$16 10-28 16:00
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +462 $230 86¢ $399 +$170 10-25 22:17
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +400 $229 68¢ $274 +$45 10-29 03:57
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +380 $218 68¢ $261 +$43 10-27 01:01
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +391 $264 64¢ $248 -$16 10-28 23:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -257 -$239 94¢ $-240 -$1 10-28 20:31
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +205 $105 82¢ $167 +$62 10-28 23:34
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +220 $146 71¢ $156 +$10 10-29 00:02
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +186 $121 81¢ $151 +$30 10-29 02:16
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,752 $157 2¢ $144 -$12 10-14 23:50
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +153 $124 84¢ $128 +$4 10-29 02:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -126 -$129 92¢ $-117 +$13 10-25 22:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +152 $84 66¢ $101 +$17 10-27 01:05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +139 $95 72¢ $99 +$4 10-15 00:31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +139 $93 70¢ $98 +$5 10-29 01:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes -98 -$97 94¢ $-91 +$5 10-28 03:29
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +82 $70 92¢ $75 +$5 09-30 00:44
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +112 $66 64¢ $72 +$6 09-30 00:43
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +80 $65 86¢ $69 +$5 10-29 01:07
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -67 -$67 97¢ $-65 +$1 07-09 01:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +90 $52 68¢ $61 +$9 10-29 00:07
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +65 $58 92¢ $60 +$2 10-27 01:07
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +90 $55 62¢ $56 +$1 10-28 23:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +73 $31 68¢ $49 +$18 06-17 03:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +65 $36 68¢ $45 +$9 10-18 23:54
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +46 $38 92¢ $42 +$4 10-15 00:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +50 $35 84¢ $42 +$7 09-15 00:57
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +52 $41 79¢ $41 $0 10-27 00:40
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +46 $39 89¢ $41 +$2 10-28 23:27
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,631 $45 1¢ $39 -$6 10-14 23:50