Realized P&L (90d)
+$81
Unrealized P&L
+$429
Hit rate
76.3%
Resolved (90d)
12
Trades (90d)
357
753 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.24K
$8.16K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$3.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 20:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
75% 78% +$156
Other
19% 60% -$51
Crypto
5% 67% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -851 -$803 92¢ $-787 +$16 10-28 16:00
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +462 $230 84¢ $390 +$160 10-25 22:17
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +380 $218 68¢ $257 +$39 10-27 01:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -257 -$239 94¢ $-240 -$1 10-28 20:31
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +359 $244 62¢ $224 -$20 10-25 22:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +321 $176 68¢ $217 +$41 10-09 00:33
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +187 $90 82¢ $152 +$62 10-15 00:08
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,752 $157 2¢ $144 -$12 10-14 23:50
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +192 $126 70¢ $133 +$7 10-27 01:06
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -126 -$129 92¢ $-117 +$13 10-25 22:52
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +136 $81 82¢ $111 +$30 10-27 00:59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +152 $84 66¢ $100 +$15 10-27 01:05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +139 $95 70¢ $98 +$3 10-15 00:31
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +117 $94 84¢ $98 +$3 10-25 21:47
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes -98 -$97 94¢ $-91 +$5 10-28 03:29
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +82 $70 90¢ $74 +$4 09-30 00:44
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +112 $66 64¢ $72 +$6 09-30 00:43
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -67 -$67 97¢ $-65 +$1 07-09 01:17
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +91 $59 72¢ $65 +$6 10-25 22:06
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +65 $58 91¢ $59 +$2 10-27 01:07
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +58 $46 84¢ $49 +$3 10-15 00:04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +73 $31 66¢ $49 +$18 06-17 03:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +65 $36 68¢ $45 +$9 10-18 23:54
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +46 $38 92¢ $42 +$4 10-15 00:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +50 $35 84¢ $42 +$7 09-15 00:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +61 $32 68¢ $42 +$9 10-25 22:14
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +52 $41 78¢ $41 -$1 10-27 00:40
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,631 $45 1¢ $39 -$6 10-14 23:50
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +43 $32 86¢ $37 +$5 10-09 00:54
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +39 $35 90¢ $35 +$0 10-09 00:51