Realized P&L (24h)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$309
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
44
1,043 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.12K
$14.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$3.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 02:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
62% 78% +$1,561
Other
24% 94% +$868
Crypto
14% 67% +$5
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? No +423 $395 96¢ $407 +$12 11-10 23:57
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? No +307 $296 97¢ $299 +$3 11-10 23:56
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November? No +266 $240 94¢ $249 +$9 11-11 03:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +243 $238 98¢ $239 +$1 11-10 00:43
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,258 $171 3¢ $236 +$65 11-11 00:08
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +236 $163 99¢ $234 +$71 11-03 01:42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +211 $198 96¢ $201 +$3 11-11 00:01
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +133 $120 92¢ $122 +$2 11-11 00:01
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2026? No +123 $118 97¢ $119 +$1 11-11 01:49
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +123 $117 94¢ $116 -$1 11-11 00:08
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +170 $106 68¢ $115 +$9 11-09 00:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +113 $92 84¢ $95 +$3 11-11 02:46
Will the Democrats win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +286 $80 33¢ $94 +$14 11-07 02:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 9%-12%? Yes +126 $19 57¢ $72 +$53 10-31 16:23
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +72 $70 97¢ $70 +$0 11-11 00:00
Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +203 $70 34¢ $70 $0 11-09 00:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +81 $70 86¢ $70 $0 11-11 00:44
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,591 $71 1¢ $68 -$3 11-11 00:10
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -67 -$67 98¢ $-66 +$1 07-09 01:17
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +63 $45 99¢ $62 +$17 11-03 01:27
Will the Democrats win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +238 $50 25¢ $60 +$10 11-07 02:04
Will the Democrats win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +217 $50 26¢ $57 +$7 11-07 02:09
Will the Democrats win Florida in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +263 $50 20¢ $53 +$3 11-07 02:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +54 $50 92¢ $50 $0 11-11 00:14
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +46 $44 95¢ $44 $0 11-11 00:34
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +284 $35 15¢ $41 +$6 11-11 00:18
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +43 $40 96¢ $41 +$1 11-10 00:45
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +153 $20 27¢ $41 +$21 11-11 00:18
Will the Republicans win Pennsylvania in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +45 $30 66¢ $30 +$0 11-07 02:12
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +510 $25 5¢ $27 +$2 11-11 00:18