Realized P&L (24h)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$339
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
28
1,000 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$618
$13.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$2.78K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 04:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
65% 78% +$1,561
Other
23% 94% +$868
Crypto
12% 67% +$5
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? No +361 $335 96¢ $344 +$9 11-10 04:37
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? No +257 $247 98¢ $251 +$4 11-10 00:33
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,066 $166 3¢ $249 +$83 11-09 00:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +243 $238 98¢ $239 +$1 11-10 00:43
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +236 $163 99¢ $233 +$71 11-03 01:42
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November? No +193 $171 94¢ $181 +$10 11-10 00:38
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +170 $106 68¢ $115 +$9 11-09 00:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +105 $98 94¢ $99 +$2 11-10 00:53
Will the Democrats win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +286 $80 33¢ $94 +$14 11-07 02:08
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +79 $70 92¢ $73 +$3 11-10 00:41
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 9%-12%? Yes +126 $19 56¢ $71 +$52 10-31 16:23
Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +203 $70 34¢ $70 $0 11-09 00:28
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -67 -$67 98¢ $-66 +$1 07-09 01:17
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +63 $45 99¢ $62 +$17 11-03 01:27
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2026? No +63 $60 97¢ $61 +$1 11-10 00:24
Will the Democrats win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +238 $50 25¢ $60 +$10 11-07 02:04
Will the Democrats win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +217 $50 26¢ $57 +$7 11-07 02:09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +63 $50 84¢ $53 +$3 11-10 00:43
Will the Democrats win Florida in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +263 $50 20¢ $53 +$3 11-07 02:06
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,146 $58 1¢ $52 -$6 11-10 00:49
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +51 $48 94¢ $48 $0 11-10 00:46
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +43 $40 96¢ $41 +$1 11-10 00:45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +217 $25 16¢ $34 +$9 08-21 00:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +116 $10 27¢ $31 +$21 08-05 22:47
Will the Republicans win Pennsylvania in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +45 $30 68¢ $31 +$1 11-07 02:12
Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +71 $20 35¢ $25 +$5 11-09 00:24
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +23 $21 95¢ $22 +$1 11-10 00:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +138 $13 16¢ $21 +$9 07-07 10:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No +21 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 11-07 01:29
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 11-10 00:40