Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$152

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-21 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

65% 32% +$11

Other

23% 23% -$4

Sports

12% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+217	$5	2¢	$4	-$1	05-21 02:24
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-20	-$1	5¢	$-1	$0	10-21 10:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$23	0	768	-768	No	+$23	07-04 13:30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$13	98	51	+47	No	-$7	07-04 13:24
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$11	114	114	+0	No	-$1	01-18 14:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	05-21 02:34
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	2	$10	38	38	+0	open	—	05-21 02:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	05-21 02:22
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$7	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	01-12 05:21
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$7	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	01-12 05:21
nothing ever happens khamenei	1	$6	14	0	+14	No	+$8	01-12 05:44
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	2	$5	4	8	-4	Yes	-$1	01-12 05:20
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$5	217	0	+217	open	—	05-21 02:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	11	0	+11	Yes	+$6	01-04 12:47
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	-$5	02-28 13:57
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$3	203	0	+203	No	-$3	01-25 11:04
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	46	0	+46	No	-$3	07-04 13:24
us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	1	$3	8	0	+8	No	-$3	01-04 12:47
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	01-12 05:46
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	2	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	01-11 21:32
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	1	$2	12	0	+12	No	-$2	05-21 01:53
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	76	0	+76	No	-$2	07-04 13:31
will iran strike one country in march	2	$1	51	51	+0	No	-$1	03-03 18:07
cilia flores released from custody by january 31 2026	1	$1	12	0	+12	No	-$1	01-04 16:49
will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	1	$1	20	0	+20	Yes	-$1	01-04 17:00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	-$1	05-21 02:18
will iran strike no countries in march	1	$1	50	0	+50	No	-$1	03-01 11:35
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	01-04 16:57
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	10-21 11:02
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$1	27	0	+27	No	-$1	05-21 02:28
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	01-04 16:55
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	05-21 02:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 11:02:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xce94e3…
10-21 10:58:59	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x410ab1…
10-21 10:57:41	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xeea9eb…
07-04 13:31:25	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x18cc22…
07-04 13:30:16	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	163	1¢	$2	0x9b8653…
07-04 13:24:38	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0xbe58f3…
07-04 13:24:25	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	51	6¢	$3	0x9df213…
05-28 20:12:38	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0x7b4e8f…
05-21 02:34:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x5a5158…
05-21 02:30:38	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0x2d166c…
05-21 02:29:58	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe01879…
05-21 02:28:23	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1cab81…
05-21 02:28:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x46dd56…
05-21 02:28:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3d71de…
05-21 02:27:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbff232…
05-21 02:24:46	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x59c694…
05-21 02:24:18	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	605	3¢	$21	0x4088fd…
05-21 02:22:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x6390b9…
05-21 02:18:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfae34f…
05-21 01:53:15	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbc76d7…
03-08 20:58:13	us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x485e2a…
03-03 18:07:31	will iran strike one country in march	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x2d3389…
03-01 11:36:13	will iran strike one country in march	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x7bc39a…
03-01 11:35:55	will iran strike no countries in march	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc08a6a…
02-28 13:57:09	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5e021e…
01-25 11:04:46	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	203	1¢	$3	0xf027a8…
01-18 14:38:22	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	114	5¢	$5	0x9943b9…
01-14 01:21:26	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	114	5¢	$6	0x80c29c…
01-12 05:46:02	U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x128778…
01-12 05:44:44	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xaa99d3…
01-12 05:21:42	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x0979ee…
01-12 05:21:00	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0x8d449b…
01-12 05:20:26	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xcdc9eb…
01-11 21:32:20	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xec98d7…
01-10 14:32:54	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x50d677…
01-10 14:32:14	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfc6b77…
01-04 17:00:51	will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x87755d…
01-04 16:57:35	maduro mugshot released by monday	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x15f1ed…
01-04 16:55:43	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x32e757…
01-04 16:55:01	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1e9ab0…
01-04 16:54:51	will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x60c5c7…
01-04 16:49:05	cilia flores released from custody by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x31dee1…
01-04 16:48:03	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xf6caa2…
01-04 12:48:31	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8bdd3d…
01-04 12:48:13	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x91ae90…
01-04 12:47:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcd58a7…
01-04 12:47:35	us x venezuela ceasefire by january 31	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3e5d41…
01-04 12:47:27	us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb5b558…