Impractical-Chemistry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-09 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$5

Politics

32% 100% +$1

Crypto

10% 33% $-4

Tech

8% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$72	92	0	+92	open	—	03-08 19:07
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	7	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	03-16 05:45
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	3	$58	42	42	+0	open	—	06-09 04:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	3	$43	29	29	+0	open	—	04-23 21:23
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$33	1,455	1,455	+0	open	—	03-09 05:51
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$32	22	25	-3	open	—	01-29 20:50
Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?	3	$31	18	18	+0	open	—	05-24 13:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	04-14 13:48
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-01 22:45
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	05-24 13:57
bitboy convicted	7	$22	40	40	+0	open	—	03-21 19:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-17 12:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	04-12 07:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	04-12 07:25
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$20	18	8	+9	open	—	03-17 10:40
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	01-29 20:50
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	04-20 21:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	04-17 08:33
will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	7	$16	69	69	+0	open	—	03-09 07:49
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$15	193	193	+0	open	—	04-06 12:40
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	3	$14	21	21	+0	Yes	+$4	04-20 04:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	03-01 11:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$14	45	45	+0	open	—	04-21 17:01
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	04-20 21:41
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	3	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	03-17 05:38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 22:45
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	03-15 18:48
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-14 13:48
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-16 05:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-14 19:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 04:36:54	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0x6a04d1…
06-08 17:58:16	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xec434a…
05-29 14:53:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xbd4454…
05-28 18:15:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4ac395…
05-28 18:14:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x86f6ec…
05-28 18:10:03	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe8d115…
05-24 13:57:04	Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x4df69c…
05-24 13:56:50	Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x6173d3…
05-22 16:50:06	Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xde142c…
05-22 16:49:59	Will Ethena reach $0.16 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf3668a…
05-22 16:46:12	Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2f37d8…
05-22 16:46:03	Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc3d765…
05-21 20:53:01	Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4ebdaf…
05-20 20:13:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec3993…
05-20 09:59:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0c5cd8…
05-20 09:58:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd1bec5…
05-19 08:31:29	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc79f43…
05-17 17:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x736832…
05-17 09:50:15	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf2d714…
05-17 09:16:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa2269e…
05-17 09:15:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9919f1…
05-16 22:26:44	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4a6a5b…
05-16 21:31:09	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x102ece…
05-16 21:31:00	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x16b932…
05-16 13:05:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x6239a2…
05-15 19:07:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xc33be5…
05-14 08:29:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xab2cf9…
05-14 08:28:53	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xde046e…
05-13 04:57:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xaa907f…
05-13 04:46:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xab7c4b…
05-13 04:44:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfb3b8b…
05-08 05:05:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x4b8c65…
05-06 13:27:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x7de116…
05-06 09:26:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0e8446…
05-06 09:23:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7023de…
05-05 17:58:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1e5c98…
05-04 22:12:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x62038c…
05-04 22:11:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd0819a…
05-04 22:09:52	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x7fe145…
05-04 22:09:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x56057e…
05-04 15:21:04	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x281a5b…
05-02 09:51:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9797ca…
05-01 22:45:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf3017f…
05-01 22:45:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd8b395…
05-01 11:35:24	megaeth fdv above 1pt4b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xce66f3…
04-30 08:02:02	megaeth fdv above 1pt2b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc4e43a…
04-29 12:23:48	James Comey arrested by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x3528de…
04-29 12:04:04	James Comey arrested by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6bf6c7…
04-29 07:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x06fe59…
04-29 07:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3378c9…
04-29 07:07:08	Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x50a900…
04-29 07:06:36	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd6c95b…
04-29 07:05:38	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb5f41c…
04-28 14:14:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x75476f…
04-28 14:11:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd4072a…
04-27 04:47:46	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x4fff9f…
04-26 18:59:26	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd66a14…
04-25 10:35:08	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xecad27…
04-25 09:42:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc0fb9f…
04-23 21:23:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	29	75¢	$22	0x45f9b0…
04-23 19:06:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x984b25…
04-23 12:16:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x4c70f0…
04-22 16:32:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x23892a…
04-22 14:45:28	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x22a562…
04-21 17:53:08	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8e1651…
04-21 17:51:38	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7753a7…
04-21 17:44:56	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x913335…
04-21 17:18:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcd76e4…
04-21 17:01:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0x3e41a0…
04-21 17:01:36	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xa9743e…
04-21 16:48:20	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x07e435…
04-21 16:48:06	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x6101d2…
04-21 04:39:18	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x05568d…
04-20 21:41:02	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0x5044b0…
04-20 21:40:46	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x368c98…
04-20 04:56:52	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x03d950…
04-19 19:44:54	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa49d4f…
04-19 19:42:50	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x11e4f5…
04-19 19:42:08	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb60ef4…
04-19 16:35:44	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x9b7db3…
04-19 16:35:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xf52e84…
04-19 16:33:46	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x2fa924…
04-18 18:47:30	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xa5f6e8…
04-17 12:46:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x93a632…
04-17 12:32:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x63ac96…
04-17 08:33:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x367651…
04-16 17:15:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xe75cd8…
04-16 08:16:46	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc1fc5c…
04-16 08:15:06	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd76d58…
04-16 08:14:18	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb17b67…
04-16 08:13:26	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x915ae4…
04-16 04:59:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa490d3…
04-16 04:58:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x35e978…
04-16 04:57:06	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb18cca…
04-16 04:56:42	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x41cf6a…
04-15 18:49:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8dc5d2…
04-15 18:14:56	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x2471fd…
04-15 17:48:00	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xe09039…
04-14 19:11:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xc56f59…
04-14 17:33:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x077eb9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	140	$429.8K	35,848	06-01 03:36
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	133	$1.28M	24,951	06-09 15:27
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	130	$29.3M	48,888	06-09 23:43
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	130	$572.7K	45,061	06-09 23:42
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	126	$200.5K	1,804	06-07 21:47
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	122	$73.2K	15,959	05-07 13:12
Full-Bow 0x59fe…14fd	119	$22.5K	9,778	05-13 17:17
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	113	$19.6K	4,584	05-31 05:19