Impractical-Chemistry 0x034a39…bdd14b Create alert
bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
3
496 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$26
$2.41K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$92
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 11-01 20:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
47% 72% +$44
Politics
28% 70% +$41
Tech
11% 64% -$17
Sports
8% 50% +$27
Crypto
6% 66% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +547 $12 3¢ $15 +$3 09-06 16:55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +14 $10 97¢ $14 +$4 06-16 04:55
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -12 -$10 96¢ $-12 -$2 05-13 04:58
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -7 -$6 98¢ $-7 -$1 07-09 20:38
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 09-29 04:38
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes -8 -$5 63¢ $-5 +$0 05-20 23:07
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 -$5 81¢ $-5 +$0 09-12 07:25
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -6 -$5 78¢ $-4 +$1 08-17 15:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +8 $5 56¢ $4 -$1 09-06 16:55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +88 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 09-29 04:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 15¢ $3 -$7 07-22 22:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 05-16 08:33
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +4 $2 54¢ $2 +$0 05-10 09:41
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +64 $23 3¢ $2 -$21 09-15 18:24
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$15 6¢ $-1 +$14 04-29 07:05
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +183 $11 1¢ $1 -$10 05-24 14:02
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes +8 $5 11¢ $1 -$4 05-20 09:58
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes +9 $5 8¢ $1 -$4 05-02 21:45
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -19 -$12 4¢ $-1 +$11 06-25 19:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6 $5 11¢ $1 -$4 05-13 05:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +23 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 05-13 13:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 09-14 04:48
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +26 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 06-16 04:56
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-21 11:25
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +2 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 05-03 19:56
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-13 04:59