Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$896
Trades
108
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$600
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-24 01:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $12 | $414 | $403 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $17 | $8 | +$10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $6 | $66 | $60 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $177 | $175 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $209 | $209 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $10 | $28 | $18 |
| unranked | 5 | $15 | $61 | $46 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | +184 | $177 | $177 | 1 | 07-21 03:15 |
| Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | +68 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-24 01:47 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 5 | 07-24 01:46 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-24 01:47 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +30 | $0 | $4 | 4 | 07-24 01:46 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $16 | 8 | 07-24 01:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +5 | $-1 | $10 | 36 | 07-24 01:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 12:03 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | +1 | $1 | $54 | 18 | 07-05 03:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 01:47:09 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x651ab5… |
| 07-24 01:47:09 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | SELL | 99 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x651ab5… |
| 07-24 01:47:09 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x651ab5… |
| 07-24 01:46:33 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb652bf… |
| 07-24 01:46:33 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb652bf… |
| 07-24 01:46:18 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x363b9d… |
| 07-24 01:46:18 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x363b9d… |
| 07-24 01:46:18 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x363b9d… |
| 07-24 01:46:18 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x363b9d… |
| 07-24 01:46:18 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x363b9d… |
| 07-24 01:46:18 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x363b9d… |
| 07-21 03:15:12 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | SELL | 184 | 97¢ | $177 | 0x6a1560… |
| 07-21 03:15:12 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 184 | 97¢ | $177 | 0x6a1560… |
| 07-20 05:17:40 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x287ab0… |
| 07-20 05:17:40 | (anonymous) 0x126a…ad55 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x287ab0… |
| 07-05 03:38:47 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbeb1f7… |
| 07-05 03:38:47 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xbeb1f7… |
| 07-05 03:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x046ec3… |
| 07-05 03:38:35 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x046ec3… |
| 07-03 05:53:31 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x4f9230… |
| 07-03 05:53:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4f9230… |
| 06-30 13:07:19 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x691f31… |
| 06-30 13:07:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x691f31… |
| 06-30 08:22:13 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | SELL | 31 | 95¢ | $30 | 0xde3868… |
| 06-30 08:22:13 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xde3868… |
| 06-30 08:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xde3868… |
| 06-30 07:47:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5a9571… |
| 06-30 07:47:32 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5a9571… |
| 06-30 07:47:32 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x5a9571… |
| 06-30 06:35:25 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x8616bf… |
| 06-30 06:35:25 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8616bf… |
| 06-30 06:34:01 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd0c505… |
| 06-30 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xd0c505… |
| 06-30 06:32:16 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb73a0a… |
| 06-30 06:32:16 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | SELL | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0xb73a0a… |
| 06-30 06:32:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb73a0a… |
| 06-30 05:58:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 31 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6333fd… |
| 06-30 05:58:10 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x6333fd… |
| 06-23 12:06:52 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x116a07… |
| 06-23 12:06:52 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x116a07… |
| 06-23 11:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2c150a… |
| 06-23 11:52:10 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x2c150a… |
| 06-22 02:20:14 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x91e823… |
| 06-22 02:20:14 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x91e823… |
| 06-22 02:20:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x91e823… |
| 06-21 08:07:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2c77eb… |
| 06-21 08:07:11 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2c77eb… |
| 06-21 08:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2c77eb… |
| 06-19 13:25:46 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xa52a7a… |
| 06-19 13:25:46 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa52a7a… |
| 06-19 13:25:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa52a7a… |
| 06-18 16:19:08 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4d7408… |
| 06-18 16:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4d7408… |
| 06-18 07:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7935fe… |
| 06-18 07:35:46 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x7935fe… |
| 06-17 07:19:31 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x67561e… |
| 06-17 07:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x67561e… |
| 06-17 07:14:37 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x24dd1a… |
| 06-17 07:14:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x24dd1a… |
| 06-17 07:13:26 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x6627aa… |
| 06-17 07:13:26 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6627aa… |
| 06-17 07:08:28 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x69e781… |
| 06-17 07:08:28 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x69e781… |
| 06-17 06:50:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x807d9e… |
| 06-17 06:50:19 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x807d9e… |
| 06-17 06:44:53 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x4c0b4c… |
| 06-17 06:44:53 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4c0b4c… |
| 06-14 16:48:12 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x015470… |
| 06-14 16:48:12 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x015470… |
| 06-14 16:48:12 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x015470… |
| 06-14 11:06:15 | (anonymous) 0x87fa…7464 | No | SELL | 94 | 96¢ | $90 | 0xa13eb5… |
| 06-14 11:06:15 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa13eb5… |
| 06-14 11:06:15 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 126 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xa13eb5… |
| 06-13 22:07:40 | Buzzing-Tachometer 0xfd62…9c7d | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x5068ca… |
| 06-13 22:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5068ca… |
| 06-08 21:55:43 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x996e98… |
| 06-08 21:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x996e98… |
| 06-08 21:55:43 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x996e98… |
| 06-08 13:52:07 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x67d285… |
| 06-08 13:52:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x67d285… |
| 06-08 11:48:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb82b3f… |
| 06-08 11:48:04 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xb82b3f… |
| 06-08 11:48:04 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb82b3f… |
| 06-08 11:48:04 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xb82b3f… |
| 06-07 17:10:15 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x57f1f8… |
| 06-07 17:10:15 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x57f1f8… |
| 06-06 13:49:34 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4281f5… |
| 06-06 13:49:34 | Scaly-Waiter 0x3a90…a100 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x4281f5… |
| 06-06 06:57:03 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x8d7b06… |
| 06-06 06:57:03 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8d7b06… |
| 06-06 06:57:03 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8d7b06… |
| 06-06 02:50:51 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe843f1… |
| 06-06 02:50:51 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xe843f1… |
| 06-06 02:50:13 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x886b23… |
| 06-06 02:50:13 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x886b23… |
| 06-05 23:21:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbf6e88… |
| 06-05 23:21:16 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 184 | 94¢ | $173 | 0xbf6e88… |
| 06-05 23:21:16 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 168 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xbf6e88… |
| 06-05 15:31:36 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x168469… |
| 06-05 15:31:36 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x168469… |