Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$233
Trades
33
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$600
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-08 21:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $5 | $202 | $197 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $13 | $8 | +$6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 2 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $198 | $198 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| unranked | 4 | $11 | $1 | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | +184 | $173 | $173 | 1 | 06-05 23:21 |
| Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | +163 | $9 | $11 | 6 | 06-08 11:48 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +54 | $3 | $3 | 8 | 06-08 21:55 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-08 11:48 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $6 | 3 | 06-08 21:55 |
| Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +7 | $-0 | $2 | 5 | 06-08 21:55 |
| Buzzing-Tachometer 0xfd62…9c7d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 08:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 12:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x126a…ad55 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 08:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 21:55:43 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x996e98… |
| 06-08 21:55:43 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x996e98… |
| 06-08 21:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x996e98… |
| 06-08 13:52:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x67d285… |
| 06-08 13:52:07 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x67d285… |
| 06-08 11:48:04 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xb82b3f… |
| 06-08 11:48:04 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xb82b3f… |
| 06-08 11:48:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb82b3f… |
| 06-08 11:48:04 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb82b3f… |
| 06-07 17:10:15 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x57f1f8… |
| 06-07 17:10:15 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x57f1f8… |
| 06-06 13:49:34 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4281f5… |
| 06-06 13:49:34 | Scaly-Waiter 0x3a90…a100 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x4281f5… |
| 06-06 06:57:03 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8d7b06… |
| 06-06 06:57:03 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x8d7b06… |
| 06-06 06:57:03 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8d7b06… |
| 06-06 02:50:51 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xe843f1… |
| 06-06 02:50:51 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe843f1… |
| 06-06 02:50:13 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x886b23… |
| 06-06 02:50:13 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x886b23… |
| 06-05 23:21:16 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 168 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xbf6e88… |
| 06-05 23:21:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbf6e88… |
| 06-05 23:21:16 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 184 | 94¢ | $173 | 0xbf6e88… |
| 06-05 15:31:36 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x168469… |
| 06-05 15:31:36 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x168469… |
| 06-05 15:31:36 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x168469… |
| 06-02 08:57:41 | Buzzing-Tachometer 0xfd62…9c7d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x7ee203… |
| 06-02 08:57:41 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7ee203… |
| 05-31 12:03:28 | Quiet-Prostacyclin 0x7334…8be8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb9b8db… |
| 05-31 12:03:28 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb9b8db… |
| 05-31 12:03:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb9b8db… |
| 05-30 08:21:16 | (anonymous) 0x126a…ad55 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xddc108… |
| 05-30 08:21:16 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xddc108… |