Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,691
lifetime
Volume
$18.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$124
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 06-09 23:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
90%
Other
8%
Politics
1%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +610 $37 $37 +$0 06-06 12:04
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? Yes +440 $19 $17 $-2 06-07 19:37
Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +163 $9 $9 $-1 06-08 11:48
Will s1mple retire by June 30? Yes +183 $6 $5 $-1 06-10 02:16
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? Yes +273 $7 $5 $-2 06-09 03:52
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -44 $-8 10¢ $-4 +$4 06-10 01:57
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes +168 $5 $4 $-1 06-07 18:47
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 34¢ $-3 $-2 06-09 03:56
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +50 $3 $3 $-0 06-09 14:26
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? No +121 $9 $3 $-7 06-07 06:50
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -8 $-2 31¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 14:20
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 48¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 19:50
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -17 $-2 14¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 17:00
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -9 $-3 24¢ $-2 +$1 06-05 12:13
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? Yes +39 $3 $2 $-1 06-09 09:50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -11 $-2 16¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 13:48
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 48¢ $-2 $-1 06-09 03:52
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-1 28¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 17:40
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $2 $2 $-1 06-09 03:56
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-2 26¢ $-2 +$1 05-29 14:29
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -13 $-1 12¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 07:41
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? Yes +32 $2 $2 $-1 06-07 16:17
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes -92 $-0 $-1 $-1 06-09 03:52
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes +7 $2 20¢ $1 $-0 05-30 19:10
Negative GDP growth in 2026? Yes -16 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-09 04:29
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 23:56
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-06 00:22
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -25 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-09 04:29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No -11 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-09 16:04
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 18¢ $-1 $-0 06-09 04:29