Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5,653
lifetime
Volume
$29.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$96
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 06-30 17:38
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
61%
Other
27%
Politics
8%
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -20 $-4 68¢ $-13 $-10 06-14 11:06
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -55 $-6 22¢ $-12 $-6 06-15 16:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -175 $-13 $-9 +$4 06-20 22:11
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -89 $-4 $-8 $-4 06-13 08:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -35 $-4 16¢ $-6 $-2 06-20 13:05
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -45 $-9 10¢ $-4 +$4 06-18 18:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +92 $4 $4 +$0 06-19 19:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -53 $2 $-3 $-5 06-21 15:12
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -17 $-2 16¢ $-3 $-1 06-07 17:00
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 80¢ $-3 $-2 06-09 03:52
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-3 20¢ $-2 +$1 06-20 13:08
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -8 $-2 29¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 14:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -22 $-2 10¢ $-2 +$0 06-13 14:39
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 39¢ $-2 +$0 05-29 19:50
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -7 $-1 30¢ $-2 $-1 06-10 07:05
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-1 30¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 17:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +4 $2 40¢ $2 $-1 06-23 03:14
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -9 $-3 18¢ $-2 +$2 06-05 12:13
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -13 $-1 13¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 07:41
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +24 $2 $2 $-0 06-20 13:08
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -3 $-1 48¢ $-2 $-1 06-14 11:06
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 26¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 23:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -11 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-05 13:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2 $1 75¢ $1 $-0 06-25 17:24
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -25 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-09 04:29
Negative GDP growth in 2026? Yes -16 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-09 04:29
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 04:29
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-09 03:56
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +6 $0 11¢ $1 +$0 06-11 07:47
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-14 11:06