Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5,984
lifetime
Volume
$30.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$84
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 07-21 12:13
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
59%
Other
28%
Politics
8%
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -35 $-4 46¢ $-16 $-12 06-20 13:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -175 $-13 $-7 +$5 06-20 22:11
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -20 $-4 38¢ $-7 $-4 06-14 11:06
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -89 $-4 $-7 $-3 06-13 08:55
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -55 $-6 12¢ $-6 $-1 06-15 16:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -12 $-1 28¢ $-3 $-2 07-21 12:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +92 $4 $3 $-1 06-19 19:09
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 83¢ $-3 $-2 06-09 03:52
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -53 $2 $-3 $-4 06-21 15:12
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -45 $-9 $-2 +$6 06-18 18:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -22 $-2 11¢ $-2 $-0 06-13 14:39
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +4 $2 48¢ $2 $-0 07-04 10:42
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-3 14¢ $-2 +$2 06-20 13:08
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-1 28¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 17:40
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +24 $2 $2 $-0 06-20 13:08
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -9 $-3 16¢ $-1 +$2 06-05 12:13
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 28¢ $-1 +$1 05-29 19:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-25 17:24
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 14¢ $-1 $-1 06-14 11:06
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -13 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 07:41
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -8 $-2 16¢ $-1 +$1 06-05 14:20
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 22¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 23:56
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -25 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-09 04:29
Negative GDP growth in 2026? Yes -16 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-09 04:29
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -3 $-1 29¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 11:06
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -17 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-07 17:00
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-09 03:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes -3 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 12:59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -11 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-05 13:48
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +6 $0 11¢ $1 +$0 06-11 07:47