Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
47
lifetime
Volume
$96
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$6
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-05 23:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52%
Other
37%
Tech
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -3 $-2 85¢ $-2 $-0 06-17 18:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2 $1 86¢ $2 +$1 06-11 19:58
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Up +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 07-05 23:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -18 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-11 19:42
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +2 $1 20¢ $0 $-1 06-11 19:58
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 20¢ $0 $-1 06-11 20:02
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-11 19:42