Realized P&L
-$249
Unrealized P&L
-$1.75K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
898
lifetime
Volume
$255.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$285
Open exposure
$4.51K
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 07-22 07:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
72% 0% $-249
Politics
28%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -2,946 $-716 40¢ $-1193 $-477 07-21 23:19
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,737 $1,601 60¢ $1.0K $-567 07-21 10:42
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No -1,113 $-1,048 91¢ $-1014 +$33 07-15 14:10
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +1,014 $889 48¢ $482 $-408 07-21 21:15
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -410 $-191 96¢ $-395 $-204 06-17 10:18
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No -622 $-192 44¢ $-271 $-78 07-21 20:09
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No -105 $-65 76¢ $-80 $-15 07-21 21:17
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +46 $57 88¢ $41 $-16 07-18 07:34
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +2 $7 85¢ $2 $-5 07-11 14:37
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +0 $14 93¢ $0 $-13 07-01 13:06