Yawning-Premeditation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,547

lifetime

Volume

$226.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 06:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-2,110

Other

33% — —

Crypto

9% 0% $-95

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	104	$33.2K	18,176	16,231	+1,945	open	—	02-24 20:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	104	$17.3K	18,822	21,602	-2,780	Yes	$-1,923	01-23 07:17
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	72	$15.2K	8,644	7,275	+1,369	open	—	02-24 14:02
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	93	$10.4K	6,093	4,987	+1,106	open	—	08-12 06:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	216	$9.6K	5,419	4,727	+691	open	—	08-08 03:10
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	183	$8.7K	20,640	21,061	-421	open	—	01-31 02:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	51	$8.6K	6,007	4,907	+1,100	open	—	02-26 17:05
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	45	$6.5K	3,502	3,502	+0	open	—	02-20 01:46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	328	$6.0K	2,309	3,996	-1,686	open	—	08-05 17:05
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	13	$5.1K	2,100	3,100	-1,000	open	—	02-23 17:07
us strike on colombia by january 31	21	$4.6K	2,698	2,192	+506	open	—	01-05 22:43
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	41	$4.6K	1,895	2,750	-855	open	—	06-26 10:32
us strike on colombia by march 31	65	$3.9K	2,872	1,671	+1,201	open	—	01-15 10:11
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	51	$3.2K	1,950	1,355	+595	open	—	08-02 18:08
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	21	$3.0K	7,409	6,000	+1,409	open	—	02-05 21:33
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	33	$2.9K	1,864	1,764	+100	open	—	03-18 23:34
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	66	$2.9K	2,463	600	+1,863	open	—	08-11 09:40
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	13	$2.8K	6,129	8,129	-2,000	open	—	01-14 21:20
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	33	$2.4K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	02-17 01:12
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	24	$2.1K	2,300	1,200	+1,100	open	—	02-27 04:12
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	16	$1.8K	1,500	800	+700	open	—	02-09 20:11
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	22	$1.7K	1,500	1,100	+400	open	—	02-28 01:13
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	21	$1.6K	1,479	679	+800	open	—	02-28 01:15
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	36	$1.6K	1,880	561	+1,319	open	—	02-28 01:29
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	15	$1.5K	4,509	4,509	+0	open	—	02-28 23:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	9	$1.5K	0	8,000	-8,000	open	—	06-05 22:08
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	18	$1.5K	3,000	1,000	+2,000	open	—	02-28 16:48
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-26 15:46
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	7	$1.3K	605	805	-200	open	—	02-26 15:46
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	35	$1.3K	2,240	2,240	-0	open	—	08-10 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:53:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x7d115d…
08-12 05:52:28	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	650	5¢	$30	0x69b40d…
08-12 02:12:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x575211…
08-12 02:11:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x278f54…
08-11 21:35:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9ab695…
08-11 09:40:10	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xe0e37d…
08-11 09:33:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	865	22¢	$191	0x37dccd…
08-11 07:43:25	us recession by end of 2027 20260807185409760	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xe06040…
08-11 03:32:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	291	86¢	$250	0xb676d6…
08-11 01:23:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	1,135	22¢	$251	0x626615…
08-10 18:56:39	us recession by end of 2027 20260807185409760	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x2841a4…
08-10 15:12:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	240	54¢	$130	0xc1b324…
08-10 14:46:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x5eae31…
08-10 14:12:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	292	37¢	$108	0x002b6e…
08-10 14:09:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x24744f…
08-10 14:08:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x343495…
08-10 14:06:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x68d4da…
08-10 14:06:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xce2f62…
08-10 13:54:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	322	22¢	$71	0xfba27e…
08-10 13:41:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	26	37¢	$9	0xa41280…
08-10 13:41:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	400	60¢	$240	0x11cb60…
08-10 12:34:58	Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x49ee7b…
08-09 17:40:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	105	84¢	$88	0xbc3911…
08-09 14:05:03	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x4aca79…
08-09 14:04:43	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xc41c2b…
08-08 21:52:09	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x949152…
08-08 21:25:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	22¢	$23	0x1981a5…
08-08 21:09:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xceb36b…
08-08 20:28:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xf63164…
08-08 19:21:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	525	21¢	$110	0xe15e36…
08-08 03:10:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	347	96¢	$334	0x7ebbef…
08-08 02:52:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa226b9…
08-08 02:43:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xab1533…
08-08 02:15:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfe46a1…
08-08 01:59:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xd2b5b2…
08-08 01:53:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4308be…
08-08 01:41:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xda673e…
08-08 01:20:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x80e729…
08-08 01:13:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb3a75b…
08-07 21:46:43	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xe9ea1c…
08-07 21:34:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	1,221	5¢	$64	0x59c493…
08-07 20:42:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	779	5¢	$40	0x2f9a4a…
08-07 19:01:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x64a714…
08-07 16:16:54	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x5ed465…
08-07 15:56:06	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x973d77…
08-07 15:37:51	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf95603…
08-07 14:17:03	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x1d9dde…
08-07 10:00:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	85	96¢	$82	0xa61036…
08-07 09:55:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x56d551…
08-07 09:51:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5ed494…
08-07 09:51:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8264a5…
08-07 09:19:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x4a05fd…
08-07 09:19:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x6f33ae…
08-07 09:16:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xb023fe…
08-07 09:16:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x91431f…
08-07 09:11:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xac34d7…
08-07 09:10:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x414332…
08-07 09:07:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x4f3480…
08-07 09:02:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xb9e7f7…
08-07 08:57:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x587e65…
08-07 08:40:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x76f788…
08-07 08:36:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xfc41d0…
08-07 08:34:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x637344…
08-07 08:32:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x994d5d…
08-07 08:06:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdfa8ff…
08-07 07:59:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xe8cddf…
08-07 03:20:16	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	120	5¢	$6	0xa05c92…
08-07 02:53:52	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	1,182	5¢	$54	0x7f961d…
08-07 00:46:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x9fc3fe…
08-07 00:38:54	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	847	5¢	$39	0x926321…
08-06 23:50:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xea401e…
08-06 21:16:32	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x465547…
08-06 17:18:53	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	235	81¢	$190	0x9abcaf…
08-06 16:37:44	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xcdc913…
08-06 16:35:35	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0xcfbb4e…
08-06 16:35:17	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x283378…
08-06 15:37:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xa069c8…
08-06 12:02:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xfd1f13…
08-06 07:49:30	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xc11133…
08-06 05:18:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x7c79e3…
08-06 05:09:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x49e6d4…
08-06 04:56:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	193	96¢	$186	0x62b29f…
08-05 19:58:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xdce56f…
08-05 19:54:30	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	2,799	4¢	$109	0x5ea545…
08-05 19:36:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xc9b6b8…
08-05 19:28:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xcf8755…
08-05 18:57:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x99d32a…
08-05 18:31:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x038fe3…
08-05 18:24:30	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xde28b0…
08-05 18:21:17	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x4040dd…
08-05 17:55:53	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x4ec369…
08-05 17:29:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x0aa199…
08-05 17:12:02	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0x44573b…
08-05 17:05:33	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x818483…
08-05 16:26:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x62f367…
08-05 14:14:47	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6db27f…
08-05 13:38:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xafd0da…
08-05 13:27:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x263913…
08-05 13:18:53	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x487d5f…
08-05 13:04:08	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa01cf6…