Realized P&L
-$8.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$668
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
224
Trades
4,723
lifetime
Volume
$279.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$1.04K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-21 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Politics
51% 40% -$6,644
Other
40% 63% -$1,567
Crypto
9% 34% -$45
Sports
0% 50% +$67
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +15,000 $463 3¢ $412 -$51 09-24 20:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -200 -$299 98¢ $-196 +$103 09-11 06:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -200 -$295 96¢ $-191 +$104 08-19 14:07
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No -100 -$158 97¢ $-97 +$60 09-11 13:37
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,854 $46 1¢ $66 +$20 10-21 07:58
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -50 -$57 98¢ $-49 +$8 07-16 18:17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -565 -$629 4¢ $-22 +$606 09-04 04:18
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +1,977 $175 0¢ $3 -$172 09-02 17:55
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,950 $80 0¢ $3 -$77 07-13 14:25
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +23 $0 1¢ $0 $0 08-23 06:26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -0 -$66 98¢ $-0 +$66 08-05 17:05