Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,412
lifetime
Volume
$18.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$169
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-08 15:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 0% $-5
Politics
14%
Other
12% 0% $-5
Sports
12% 100% +$5
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? Yes -962 $-36 $-60 $-24 06-07 19:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -231 $-32 11¢ $-24 +$8 06-05 15:21
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -69 $-18 24¢ $-17 +$1 06-05 15:21
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes -85 $-15 20¢ $-17 $-2 06-07 19:13
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -115 $-13 12¢ $-14 $-1 06-07 19:13
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -40 $-5 16¢ $-7 $-1 05-29 13:55
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes -77 $-7 $-7 +$0 06-07 19:13
Canva IPO before 2027? Yes -55 $-5 11¢ $-6 $-1 06-07 19:13
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? Yes -15 $-5 31¢ $-4 +$0 06-03 15:28
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-3 37¢ $-4 $-2 06-05 15:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -16 $-4 26¢ $-4 $-1 06-05 15:21
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -23 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-03 15:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -8 $-1 15¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 15:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -16 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-29 13:55
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-05 15:20
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-0 28¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 15:20