Realized P&L
-$1.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$247
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
1,457
Trades
2,356
lifetime
Volume
$28.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$121
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-28 21:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Crypto
44% 55% -$45
Other
31% 57% -$950
Sports
13% 58% -$471
Politics
11% 45% -$26
Tech
0% 100% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -119 -$128 32¢ $-38 +$91 10-02 14:55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -146 -$66 12¢ $-18 +$47 05-15 18:14
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -69 -$18 22¢ $-16 +$2 06-05 15:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +64 $17 22¢ $14 -$3 10-27 13:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +68 $12 14¢ $9 -$3 10-27 13:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +19 $7 34¢ $6 -$1 10-27 13:41
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -89 -$35 6¢ $-5 +$31 05-16 16:03
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -64 -$46 3¢ $-2 +$44 05-26 21:10
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -46 -$8 4¢ $-2 +$6 04-28 18:41
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? Yes -77 -$11 3¢ $-2 +$9 05-26 21:11
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -115 -$13 2¢ $-2 +$11 06-07 19:13
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -23 -$1 8¢ $-2 -$1 06-03 15:31
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes -85 -$15 2¢ $-2 +$13 06-07 19:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -56 -$1 3¢ $-2 -$1 06-05 15:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -8 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 06-05 15:20