Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,575
lifetime
Volume
$19.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$124
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-01 07:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 0% $-5
Other
17% 0% $-5
Politics
13%
Sports
11% 100% +$5
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? Yes -962 $-36 $-38 $-2 06-07 19:26
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -69 $-18 24¢ $-17 +$1 06-05 15:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -231 $-32 $-15 +$17 06-05 15:21
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes -85 $-15 18¢ $-15 $-0 06-07 19:13
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -115 $-13 11¢ $-12 +$0 06-07 19:13
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes -77 $-7 12¢ $-10 $-3 06-07 19:13
Canva IPO before 2027? Yes -55 $-5 $-5 +$0 06-07 19:13
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? Yes -15 $-5 33¢ $-5 +$0 06-03 15:28
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-3 28¢ $-3 $-1 06-05 15:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +487 $54 $2 $-52 06-26 21:41
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -23 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-03 15:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -8 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-05 15:20
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-05 15:20
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +422 $3 $0 $-3 06-21 17:46
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-0 16¢ $-0 $-0 06-05 15:20