Realized P&L (30d)
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
43.2%
Resolved (30d)
10
Trades (30d)
284
70,241 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$230
$58.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$57
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 17:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Other
53% 43% +$758
Politics
20% 41% -$224
Sports
15% 42% +$189
Tech
7% 38% +$311
Crypto
4% 67% +$84
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +17 $4 81¢ $14 +$10 08-13 04:45
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +33 $10 28¢ $9 -$1 08-11 08:47
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? Yes -9 -$2 43¢ $-4 -$2 11-06 11:55
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +117 $3 3¢ $4 +$1 11-03 14:02
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$1 05-24 20:17
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -119 -$1 2¢ $-3 -$2 05-04 07:13
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? Yes +57 $3 5¢ $3 -$1 11-04 08:13
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $4 92¢ $3 -$1 06-29 01:06
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? Yes +83 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 11-03 11:07
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +42 $0 5¢ $2 +$2 11-06 17:13
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +72 $2 3¢ $2 $0 11-05 03:32
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes — -10 -$4 18¢ $-2 +$2 11-04 08:34
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +52 $2 3¢ $2 -$1 11-04 05:19
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes — -34 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 11-05 10:06
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -10 $1 9¢ $-1 -$2 10-22 00:09
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Yes -20 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$2 05-03 19:09
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -4 -$5 19¢ $-1 +$4 11-04 04:50
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4 -$2 14¢ $1 +$3 11-03 05:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 12¢ $0 -$1 08-10 10:00
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -8 $0 4¢ $-0 -$1 06-30 08:20
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -4 $0 5¢ $-0 $0 08-30 19:18
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $0 15¢ $-0 $0 09-04 20:02
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes -2 -$1 10¢ $-0 +$0 05-27 17:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$1 80¢ $0 +$1 08-20 14:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? Yes -8 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 09-23 18:59
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +4 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-20 00:20
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 09-25 21:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 5¢ $0 $0 05-24 05:13
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 11-05 01:46
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -1 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 05-25 17:06