Dark-Inevitable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.31K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,031

lifetime

Volume

$249.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-10 23:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

63% 44% +$97

Politics

26% 100% +$1,210

Sports

11% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	116	$12.2K	10,248	6,428	+3,820	open	—	03-06 15:03
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	25	$10.3K	11,755	0	+11,755	open	—	02-04 19:08
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	19	$7.6K	8,154	0	+8,154	open	—	03-03 02:58
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	167	$7.3K	11,233	0	+11,233	open	—	02-13 01:17
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	179	$5.4K	14,361	0	+14,361	open	—	01-30 16:54
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	3	$4.8K	4,706	2,206	+2,500	open	—	02-13 07:52
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	85	$4.7K	5,286	5,276	+10	open	—	03-14 01:45
atp spizzir sinner 2026 01 24	2	$4.0K	6,469	0	+6,469	open	—	01-24 03:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	7	$3.9K	4,500	0	+4,500	open	—	08-05 14:21
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	72	$3.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-12 23:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$3.3K	3,500	350	+3,150	open	—	04-28 05:03
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	13	$3.3K	9,393	8,393	+1,000	open	—	03-02 04:02
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	49	$3.3K	5,608	0	+5,608	open	—	02-04 00:13
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	3	$3.0K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	07-02 07:30
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-15 17:16
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$2.7K	3,667	0	+3,667	open	—	02-07 20:40
atp shelton tien 2026 03 08	13	$2.7K	2,751	2,700	+51	open	—	03-08 22:02
winter games 2026 lindsey vonn to medal	16	$2.6K	2,500	1,160	+1,340	open	—	02-15 21:11
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 01 27	48	$2.5K	3,155	0	+3,155	open	—	01-25 21:13
will erika kirk attend the 2026 state of the union address	11	$2.5K	2,984	0	+2,984	open	—	02-23 18:55
will the secret agent be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	5	$2.4K	2,975	0	+2,975	open	—	01-22 07:46
will train dreams be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$2.4K	3,009	0	+3,009	open	—	01-22 07:44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$2.3K	2,000	1,500	+500	open	—	04-21 08:53
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	28	$2.3K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	08-02 02:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-18 03:16
atp zverev tien 2026 01 27	11	$2.1K	3,300	0	+3,300	open	—	01-27 04:29
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	64	$2.1K	2,900	0	+2,900	open	—	03-12 19:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	100	$2.1K	2,107	3,000	-893	open	—	03-26 19:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	16	$2.1K	3,483	0	+3,483	open	—	06-13 19:41
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$2.0K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-12 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 23:25:54	atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	Arthur Fils	BUY	300	43¢	$129	0x175da5…
08-10 21:24:45	atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	Arthur Fils	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0x6795b6…
08-10 00:26:03	atp zandsch mensik 2026 08 10	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	249	25¢	$62	0x16492e…
08-10 00:25:55	atp zandsch mensik 2026 08 10	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3fabf5…
08-06 09:46:44	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$6	0xd2791b…
08-06 03:35:51	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x333363…
08-06 03:25:18	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0xf541f5…
08-06 03:25:15	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	77	53¢	$41	0x92542a…
08-06 03:24:41	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	423	53¢	$224	0x3bcc78…
08-06 02:40:27	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc3ca03…
08-06 01:35:08	atp tien monfils 2026 08 05	Learner Tien	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0x20ada4…
08-05 23:12:24	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	107	7¢	$7	0xd7fd66…
08-05 21:36:08	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	119	54¢	$65	0xe769fd…
08-05 20:53:20	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x22d73f…
08-05 20:45:41	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xd49b1d…
08-05 20:25:42	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	105	54¢	$57	0xfbf88c…
08-05 20:22:00	atp zverev grieksp 2026 08 06	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xe62749…
08-05 20:22:00	atp zverev grieksp 2026 08 06	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	400	19¢	$76	0xba69b1…
08-05 14:21:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	685	81¢	$555	0x9dec30…
08-05 13:42:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xceb605…
08-05 13:42:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x2bc70d…
08-03 18:21:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,500	86¢	$1,290	0x5bd3f3…
08-02 06:31:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	67¢	$1,005	0x94f2b0…
08-02 02:51:23	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x93485e…
08-02 02:29:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x2abd92…
08-02 02:29:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xc678ed…
08-02 02:24:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xb6b328…
08-02 02:21:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xddf533…
08-02 02:21:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x2dfbf0…
08-02 02:19:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xe03f62…
08-02 02:17:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x0b1977…
08-02 02:11:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x3e8529…
08-02 01:50:03	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x4699f0…
08-02 01:50:03	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x079d4d…
08-02 01:50:02	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xd5f9d1…
08-02 01:50:02	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xc6534f…
08-02 01:50:02	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xa52318…
08-02 01:50:02	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	242	36¢	$87	0x8a1483…
08-02 01:50:02	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x7f6df5…
08-02 01:50:00	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xde158f…
08-02 01:50:00	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xbcec89…
08-02 01:49:59	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x5c81f7…
08-02 01:49:56	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x94af31…
08-02 01:49:54	atp jodar tabilo 2026 08 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	1	36¢	$1	0xda971b…
07-31 23:09:06	atp jodar musetti 2026 07 31	Rafael Jodar	BUY	368	36¢	$133	0x0fb88b…
07-31 23:08:59	atp jodar musetti 2026 07 31	Rafael Jodar	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x878b26…
07-31 23:08:56	atp jodar musetti 2026 07 31	Rafael Jodar	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xdb9ac7…
07-27 22:09:22	atp vukic svajda 2026 07 27	Zachary Svajda	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x570f3f…
07-27 22:09:22	atp vukic svajda 2026 07 27	Zachary Svajda	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x0f28ee…
07-27 22:09:19	atp vukic svajda 2026 07 27	Zachary Svajda	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5071b5…
07-27 21:08:37	atp nishiko shang 2026 07 27	Kei Nishikori	BUY	800	41¢	$328	0x6273fa…
07-20 00:11:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	476	88¢	$419	0x0cfd17…
07-19 22:47:43	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7effea…
07-19 22:33:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4d6bd6…
07-19 22:28:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	502	88¢	$442	0xb3a933…
07-19 20:31:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0xce8266…
07-19 18:19:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x8fa501…
07-18 14:40:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	540	38¢	$205	0xdd1975…
07-18 11:52:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x96664a…
07-18 11:18:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb155c4…
07-18 09:58:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	255	38¢	$97	0x64f174…
07-18 01:51:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	74	72¢	$53	0x39949a…
07-18 01:39:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7de9e6…
07-18 01:31:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x570c57…
07-18 01:31:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xf7dc8f…
07-18 01:17:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf999a8…
07-18 01:09:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xcf2a91…
07-18 01:03:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x892862…
07-18 01:02:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0x55ff8e…
07-18 01:02:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf70175…
07-18 00:57:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1dacb9…
07-18 00:49:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x1415d7…
07-17 21:02:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x8ab3ef…
07-17 19:02:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xb51535…
07-16 21:05:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x977bb9…
07-16 00:27:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	430	71¢	$305	0xa6d0e0…
07-16 00:03:35	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	1,070	71¢	$760	0xfb3113…
07-15 23:39:43	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0xf574af…
07-15 23:39:34	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xad9162…
07-15 23:39:20	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0x0547e5…
07-15 23:39:14	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	175	86¢	$150	0xf17573…
07-15 23:39:14	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x4dbf71…
07-15 23:39:08	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x20fb73…
07-15 23:39:07	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xdbc7b9…
07-15 23:39:07	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb1c3c0…
07-15 23:39:07	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x3a004b…
07-15 23:39:07	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x227082…
07-15 23:39:05	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xd1da1a…
07-15 23:39:05	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x96217c…
07-15 23:39:04	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xd4612d…
07-15 23:39:04	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x0da7ad…
07-15 23:39:02	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0x5c5da8…
07-15 23:12:05	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0x9ed39c…
07-15 21:52:31	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	112	84¢	$94	0x09ae7b…
07-13 19:46:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0xe2444a…
07-12 08:54:10	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	263	70¢	$184	0x610939…
07-12 08:38:44	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	237	70¢	$166	0xbdf20e…
07-11 21:12:08	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	72	73¢	$53	0x1747a7…
07-11 17:06:41	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	73	73¢	$53	0x6b6c6a…
07-10 23:08:59	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xab89ca…