Realized P&L
+$32.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.5K
Hit rate
72.5%
Resolved
331
Trades
3,772
lifetime
Volume
$361.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$61.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 20:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 155 days
Categories
Other
56% 47% +$14,421
Politics
32% 65% +$5,893
Sports
10% 44% +$11,844
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +13,026 $8,238 68¢ $8.9K +$685 10-25 23:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +20,000 $1,640 30¢ $6.1K +$4,460 10-16 23:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3,583 $2,156 94¢ $3.4K +$1,229 06-13 19:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,128 66¢ $3.3K +$147 10-26 20:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,000 $2,858 82¢ $3.3K +$402 07-18 11:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,033 $2,573 94¢ $2.9K +$293 06-03 19:20
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +2,411 -$787 96¢ $2.3K +$3,108 10-26 17:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,000 $1,730 94¢ $1.9K +$150 09-20 16:59
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $1,910 9¢ $1.9K -$40 10-16 19:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 -$1,900 94¢ $-1870 +$30 10-20 04:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,500 $1,695 74¢ $1.8K +$142 10-07 09:53
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,000 $1,800 92¢ $1.8K +$30 09-18 04:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,850 $1,182 96¢ $1.8K +$584 10-11 02:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,930 $1,669 92¢ $1.8K +$97 10-23 21:17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +2,000 $1,570 86¢ $1.7K +$160 05-20 15:28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,630 84¢ $1.7K +$60 07-13 19:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +2,529 $1,186 63¢ $1.6K +$411 10-03 21:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,096 86¢ $1.4K +$275 07-18 05:50
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +1,700 $689 80¢ $1.4K +$679 08-10 06:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $865 88¢ $1.3K +$448 09-10 06:55
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +1,500 $792 87¢ $1.3K +$512 08-06 03:25
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -1,140 -$561 98¢ $-1122 -$561 09-06 22:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,200 $712 92¢ $1.1K +$386 06-29 02:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,200 $828 86¢ $1.0K +$198 05-10 13:07
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $870 60¢ $908 +$38 10-26 20:53
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $870 86¢ $855 -$15 10-13 17:43
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $870 86¢ $855 -$15 10-13 17:43
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,000 $495 84¢ $840 +$345 09-20 01:50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,500 $588 54¢ $815 +$226 07-08 01:17
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -800 -$760 92¢ $-735 +$25 10-08 12:39