Realized P&L
+$1.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$972
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
2,977
lifetime
Volume
$242.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$13.3K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-20 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
62% 44% +$97
Politics
26% 100% +$1,210
Sports
11%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3,483 $2,100 86¢ $3.0K +$912 06-13 19:41
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +3,267 $1,840 54¢ $1.8K $-76 07-16 21:05
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,000 $1,695 86¢ $1.7K +$15 06-03 19:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,630 81¢ $1.6K $-10 07-13 19:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,300 $894 84¢ $1.1K +$204 06-30 12:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,000 $890 90¢ $895 +$5 07-03 13:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,200 $712 66¢ $798 +$86 06-29 02:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +865 $624 72¢ $627 +$2 07-18 11:52
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +500 $427 85¢ $425 $-2 07-15 23:39
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +499 $399 84¢ $421 +$22 07-04 06:43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +500 $365 78¢ $392 +$27 07-11 21:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +450 $264 66¢ $294 +$30 06-02 12:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +500 $365 22¢ $108 $-258 06-19 07:45
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +79 $69 94¢ $74 +$5 07-09 07:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +24 $4 46¢ $11 +$7 07-04 04:43