Realized P&L (30d)
+$12.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.57K
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved (30d)
48
Trades (30d)
334
3,904 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$55.5K
$384.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$48.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-11 12:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Other
56% 48% +$14,364
Politics
33% 68% +$18,728
Sports
11% 48% +$12,930
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23,108 $2,214 17¢ $4.0K +$1,795 11-03 02:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,000 $2,858 94¢ $3.7K +$882 07-18 11:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3,583 $2,156 97¢ $3.5K +$1,305 06-13 19:41
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +3,000 $2,540 84¢ $2.5K -$5 11-10 09:16
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,500 $2,279 65¢ $2.3K +$5 11-11 09:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,296 $1,863 98¢ $2.3K +$388 11-03 05:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,000 $1,730 98¢ $2.0K +$224 09-20 16:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 -$1,900 97¢ $-1949 -$49 10-20 04:23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +2,000 $1,570 97¢ $1.9K +$370 05-20 15:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,500 $1,695 77¢ $1.9K +$230 10-07 09:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,850 $1,182 98¢ $1.8K +$623 10-11 02:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,630 90¢ $1.8K +$160 07-13 19:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +2,529 $1,186 66¢ $1.7K +$485 10-03 21:11
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,700 $1,446 90¢ $1.5K +$92 10-29 17:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,096 94¢ $1.5K +$408 07-18 05:50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $865 94¢ $1.4K +$545 09-10 06:55
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +1,500 $792 92¢ $1.4K +$587 08-06 03:25
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,534 $880 86¢ $1.3K +$432 11-08 16:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,200 $828 94¢ $1.1K +$294 05-10 13:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,200 $712 92¢ $1.1K +$398 06-29 02:10
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +1,300 $1,139 84¢ $1.1K -$40 11-11 16:48
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,000 $495 93¢ $930 +$435 09-20 01:50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +21,000 $1,790 4¢ $892 -$897 10-31 23:01
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +852 $367 92¢ $788 +$421 09-20 04:06
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +749 $429 98¢ $737 +$309 10-20 06:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +750 $655 97¢ $728 +$73 10-20 10:37
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +750 $527 96¢ $716 +$189 07-12 08:54
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -800 -$760 90¢ $-716 +$44 10-08 12:39
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1,500 $712 39¢ $585 -$127 11-11 04:51
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5 Under +1,200 $580 48¢ $576 -$4 11-11 12:33