Dark-Inevitable — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$9.50K

Unrealized P&L

+$9.42K

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

347

3,973 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$52.6K

$392.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$51.4K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-15 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Other

55% 47% +$10,818

Politics

33% 68% +$18,728

Sports

11% 49% +$13,236

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+7,000	$4,547	65¢	$4.6K	+$7	11-15 00:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+23,108	$2,214	18¢	$4.0K	+$1,829	11-03 02:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+4,000	$2,858	92¢	$3.7K	+$842	07-18 11:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,583	$2,156	97¢	$3.5K	+$1,317	06-13 19:41
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+2,296	$1,863	96¢	$2.2K	+$352	11-03 05:08
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,500	$2,173	88¢	$2.2K	+$33	11-14 22:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2,500	$1,695	83¢	$2.1K	+$381	10-07 09:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,529	$1,186	81¢	$2.0K	+$862	10-03 21:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+2,000	$1,730	99¢	$2.0K	+$242	09-20 16:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-2,000	-$1,900	97¢	$-1947	-$47	10-20 04:23
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,570	97¢	$1.9K	+$375	05-20 15:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+1,850	$1,182	98¢	$1.8K	+$623	10-11 02:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,630	90¢	$1.8K	+$160	07-13 19:46
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	+1,700	$1,446	94¢	$1.6K	+$144	10-29 17:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+1,600	$1,096	94¢	$1.5K	+$403	07-18 05:50
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	+1,500	$1,311	92¢	$1.4K	+$76	11-12 22:57
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	+1,500	$792	92¢	$1.4K	+$580	08-06 03:25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,500	$865	90¢	$1.4K	+$485	09-10 06:55
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+1,534	$880	84¢	$1.3K	+$401	11-08 16:49
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+1,200	$828	94¢	$1.1K	+$294	05-10 13:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+1,200	$712	91¢	$1.1K	+$380	06-29 02:10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+1,000	$495	92¢	$915	+$420	09-20 01:50
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+2,000	$922	44¢	$890	-$32	11-14 06:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+852	$367	90¢	$771	+$404	09-20 04:06
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+21,000	$1,790	4¢	$766	-$1,023	10-31 23:01
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	+749	$429	98¢	$736	+$307	10-20 06:59
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	+750	$527	98¢	$732	+$204	07-12 08:54
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+750	$655	97¢	$731	+$76	10-20 10:37
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	-800	-$760	88¢	$-706	+$53	10-08 12:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$1,406	68¢	$675	-$731	11-15 02:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	50	$15.0K	9,500	9,500	+0	open	—	11-01 00:11
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	116	$12.2K	10,248	6,428	+3,820	Yes	+$925	03-06 15:03
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	26	$10.5K	11,755	242	+11,513	No	+$1,487	05-07 14:33
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	58	$9.6K	15,026	0	+15,026	Yes	+$5,458	10-29 19:03
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	19	$7.6K	8,154	0	+8,154	No	+$598	03-03 02:58
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	167	$7.3K	11,233	0	+11,233	Yes	+$3,939	02-13 01:17
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	8	$6.4K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	10-13 17:45
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	179	$5.4K	14,361	0	+14,361	Yes	+$8,935	01-30 16:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	33	$4.9K	5,000	4,000	+1,000	open	—	11-15 02:03
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	3	$4.8K	4,706	2,206	+2,500	No	+$722	02-13 07:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	10	$4.8K	4,500	959	+3,541	No	+$640	08-23 02:25
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	85	$4.7K	5,286	5,276	+10	No	-$784	03-14 01:45
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	15	$4.5K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	11-15 00:24
atp spizzir sinner 2026 01 24	2	$4.0K	6,469	0	+6,469	Sinner	+$2,469	01-24 03:42
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	72	$3.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$1,650	02-12 23:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$3.3K	3,500	350	+3,150	No	+$524	04-28 05:03
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	13	$3.3K	9,393	8,393	+1,000	No	-$444	03-02 04:02
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	49	$3.3K	5,608	0	+5,608	Yes	+$2,315	02-04 00:13
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	9	$3.3K	3,033	738	+2,296	open	—	11-03 05:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	4	$3.2K	1,600	2,100	-500	open	—	10-14 21:04
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	12	$3.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$1,872	10-26 20:53
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$100	02-15 17:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	13	$2.9K	2,150	1,010	+1,139	No	+$277	06-28 05:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	27	$2.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	07-18 11:52
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$2.7K	3,667	0	+3,667	No	+$927	02-07 20:40
atp shelton tien 2026 03 08	13	$2.7K	2,751	2,700	+51	Learner Tien	+$45	03-08 22:02
winter games 2026 lindsey vonn to medal	16	$2.6K	2,500	1,160	+1,340	No	+$1,074	02-15 21:11
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	3	$2.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$2,540	11-10 09:16
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 01 27	48	$2.5K	3,155	0	+3,155	Alcaraz	+$631	01-25 21:13
will erika kirk attend the 2026 state of the union address	11	$2.5K	2,984	0	+2,984	Yes	+$499	02-23 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 03:47:35	Spread: Packers (-2.5)	Packers	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x69dd94…
11-15 03:44:13	Spread: Packers (-2.5)	Packers	BUY	400	52¢	$208	0x50244a…
11-15 02:03:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0x436e37…
11-15 00:45:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	908	4¢	$37	0x43a3d1…
11-15 00:24:46	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	1,000	65¢	$647	0x8575df…
11-14 22:34:53	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	763	87¢	$662	0x5a9ab2…
11-14 22:31:25	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	87¢	$66	0x44a113…
11-14 22:11:44	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb08050…
11-14 22:07:38	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	903	65¢	$585	0x7bc218…
11-14 22:02:17	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xe0d440…
11-14 22:02:16	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x31e9d4…
11-14 21:42:49	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$260	0x07ffc6…
11-14 21:41:53	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x13af7f…
11-14 21:38:37	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	87¢	$66	0x8e12ca…
11-14 21:34:14	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	152	87¢	$132	0x14d3a4…
11-14 21:07:34	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	87¢	$66	0x32b90b…
11-14 21:00:50	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xd4d840…
11-14 20:48:14	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	747	65¢	$484	0x77d013…
11-14 20:42:20	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	688	87¢	$599	0x12028d…
11-14 20:41:07	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	312	87¢	$272	0xc0159f…
11-14 20:31:44	Washington vs. Michigan State	Michigan State	BUY	600	43¢	$258	0x7f5378…
11-14 20:06:22	New Mexico State vs. Missouri State	New Mexico State	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x203dc8…
11-14 20:06:04	New Mexico State vs. Missouri State	New Mexico State	BUY	199	49¢	$97	0x61ad29…
11-14 20:05:02	New Mexico State vs. Missouri State	New Mexico State	BUY	324	49¢	$159	0x842f4b…
11-14 18:14:35	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0xf861aa…
11-14 17:17:02	Spread: Rice (-3.5)	Rice	BUY	600	48¢	$288	0xb9e790…
11-14 16:52:22	Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)	Miami (FL)	BUY	800	52¢	$416	0x3e929b…
11-14 16:52:01	Spread: Iowa State (-2.5)	Iowa State	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0xf6c430…
11-14 06:10:14	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8a861e…
11-14 06:09:56	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x57aa87…
11-14 06:08:58	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xfb02c8…
11-14 06:08:31	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xdc2eee…
11-14 06:08:31	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc3edbc…
11-14 05:53:52	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x7bab71…
11-14 05:47:08	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xdf29ff…
11-14 05:46:58	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xc97f93…
11-14 05:46:29	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x9527a6…
11-14 05:45:20	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x662a0b…
11-14 05:44:22	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xa23e52…
11-13 17:34:31	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x62cb88…
11-13 16:37:19	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x361f81…
11-13 16:37:18	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x40d56d…
11-13 14:18:51	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x9cb8a9…
11-13 11:55:07	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdf4d18…
11-13 11:55:04	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x746d70…
11-13 11:54:58	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xff0eba…
11-13 06:45:12	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0xd4bec4…
11-13 05:07:24	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x1fd0ea…
11-13 01:50:01	Spread: Colts (-3.5)	Colts	BUY	33	53¢	$18	0x04ac38…
11-13 00:49:39	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb2d3ea…
11-13 00:44:18	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x74a349…
11-13 00:42:58	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xb4c07f…
11-13 00:28:30	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xaabb5e…
11-13 00:21:54	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xfb6fe4…
11-13 00:20:34	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x47ed0b…
11-13 00:17:36	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x6d951c…
11-13 00:17:09	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xc4ba9b…
11-13 00:10:15	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf1dd6f…
11-13 00:07:57	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x4f0e35…
11-12 23:50:48	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	164	42¢	$69	0x22b13a…
11-12 22:57:13	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xfaead0…
11-12 21:36:13	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xad294d…
11-12 18:18:43	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	215	48¢	$103	0xd1d250…
11-12 17:03:40	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x845238…
11-12 17:03:40	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x169588…
11-11 22:50:43	Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc4a4d1…
11-11 16:48:21	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xf252fc…
11-11 12:33:07	Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	133	48¢	$64	0x046507…
11-11 09:48:01	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	905	65¢	$587	0xae1c9d…
11-11 07:40:55	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	95	65¢	$62	0x45d02b…
11-11 06:35:39	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	1,000	65¢	$651	0x49eee9…
11-11 05:41:57	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	886	65¢	$579	0x3edc44…
11-11 05:33:36	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x7da5a9…
11-11 05:31:31	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	90	65¢	$59	0x926f91…
11-11 04:51:42	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	400	44¢	$176	0xab55e1…
11-11 04:30:49	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x6d4c0a…
11-11 03:25:13	Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x2d4b2a…
11-11 02:51:13	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xed44b9…
11-10 20:09:12	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	444	89¢	$395	0x60b3e4…
11-10 20:08:30	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x97d321…
11-10 20:08:24	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	136	89¢	$121	0xcb0456…
11-10 20:08:22	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	419	89¢	$373	0x7ce7ab…
11-10 19:54:57	Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xd4e57b…
11-10 18:19:19	Spread: Saints (-1.5)	Saints	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0xc0aa36…
11-10 16:28:09	Spread: Saints (-1.5)	Saints	BUY	55	48¢	$26	0xeb6008…
11-10 14:46:18	Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	215	48¢	$103	0x9e50cc…
11-10 14:46:18	Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	215	48¢	$103	0x28bc29…
11-10 14:16:49	Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	22	48¢	$10	0xfe19c3…
11-10 14:16:49	Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	190	48¢	$91	0x3fa151…
11-10 14:16:01	Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	382	49¢	$187	0xcbca1f…
11-10 10:30:21	Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	379	50¢	$190	0xbe9078…
11-10 09:42:45	Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	110	50¢	$55	0xfe1c7e…
11-10 09:16:01	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x08b97b…
11-10 07:26:19	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x683a33…
11-10 07:26:19	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	54	47¢	$26	0x0470b4…
11-10 07:26:13	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	76	47¢	$36	0x5b34b5…
11-10 07:26:12	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	222	47¢	$105	0x8a5b5b…
11-10 07:26:12	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	75	48¢	$36	0x430782…
11-10 07:26:12	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x1d33d2…
11-10 07:02:27	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x880e9c…