Dark-Inevitable 0xe5b49b…f41e3e Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$16.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.85K
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved (90d)
87
Trades (90d)
621
3,891 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$97.7K
$376.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$46.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-13 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
55% 48% +$11,824
Politics
33% 68% +$18,728
Sports
11% 49% +$13,236
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23,108 $2,214 17¢ $4.0K +$1,795 11-03 02:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,000 $2,858 92¢ $3.7K +$842 07-18 11:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3,583 $2,156 97¢ $3.5K +$1,310 06-13 19:41
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,500 $2,279 65¢ $2.3K +$12 11-11 09:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,296 $1,863 98¢ $2.2K +$381 11-03 05:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,500 $1,695 81¢ $2.0K +$324 10-07 09:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,000 $1,730 98¢ $2.0K +$235 09-20 16:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 -$1,900 97¢ $-1947 -$47 10-20 04:23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +2,000 $1,570 97¢ $1.9K +$371 05-20 15:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +2,529 $1,186 73¢ $1.8K +$659 10-03 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,850 $1,182 98¢ $1.8K +$625 10-11 02:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,630 90¢ $1.8K +$160 07-13 19:46
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,700 $1,446 90¢ $1.5K +$92 10-29 17:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,096 94¢ $1.5K +$402 07-18 05:50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $865 92¢ $1.4K +$508 09-10 06:55
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +1,500 $792 91¢ $1.4K +$572 08-06 03:25
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +1,500 $1,311 87¢ $1.3K -$6 11-12 22:57
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,534 $880 84¢ $1.3K +$401 11-08 16:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,200 $828 94¢ $1.1K +$294 05-10 13:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,200 $712 90¢ $1.1K +$374 06-29 02:10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,000 $495 93¢ $930 +$435 09-20 01:50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +21,000 $1,790 4¢ $787 -$1,002 10-31 23:01
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1,809 $842 44¢ $787 -$55 11-13 00:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +852 $367 92¢ $783 +$416 09-20 04:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +750 $655 97¢ $729 +$74 10-20 10:37
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +749 $429 97¢ $728 +$299 10-20 06:59
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +750 $527 96¢ $720 +$193 07-12 08:54
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -800 -$760 90¢ $-718 +$42 10-08 12:39
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5 Under +1,200 $580 48¢ $582 +$2 11-11 12:33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election? Yes +500 $360 100¢ $498 +$138 11-04 00:09