Realized P&L (7d)
+$11.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.1K
Hit rate
83.0%
Resolved (7d)
25
Trades (7d)
51
3,833 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$9.43K
$374.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$44.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-04 22:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Other
56% 48% +$14,401
Politics
33% 67% +$17,475
Sports
11% 44% +$11,936
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23,108 $2,214 18¢ $4.3K +$2,049 11-03 02:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,000 $2,858 88¢ $3.5K +$642 07-18 11:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3,583 $2,156 94¢ $3.4K +$1,229 06-13 19:41
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,296 $1,863 96¢ $2.2K +$352 11-03 05:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 -$1,900 97¢ $-1940 -$40 10-20 04:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,000 $1,730 96¢ $1.9K +$190 09-20 16:59
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +2,000 $1,570 96¢ $1.9K +$340 05-20 15:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,500 $1,695 72¢ $1.8K +$117 10-07 09:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,850 $1,182 96¢ $1.8K +$594 10-11 02:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,630 88¢ $1.8K +$140 07-13 19:46
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,700 $1,446 89¢ $1.5K +$67 10-29 17:48
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,500 $588 100¢ $1.5K +$909 07-08 01:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,096 91¢ $1.5K +$363 07-18 05:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +2,529 $1,186 56¢ $1.4K +$243 10-03 21:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +21,000 $1,790 6¢ $1.4K -$425 10-31 23:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $865 90¢ $1.4K +$493 09-10 06:55
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +1,500 $792 90¢ $1.4K +$565 08-06 03:25
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -1,140 -$561 100¢ $-1134 -$573 09-06 22:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,200 $712 92¢ $1.1K +$398 06-29 02:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,200 $828 92¢ $1.1K +$282 05-10 13:07
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,000 $495 92¢ $920 +$425 09-20 01:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +852 $367 92¢ $783 +$416 09-20 04:06
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -800 -$760 94¢ $-751 +$9 10-08 12:39
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +749 $429 98¢ $734 +$305 10-20 06:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +750 $655 96¢ $724 +$69 10-20 10:37
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +750 $527 94¢ $709 +$181 07-12 08:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +533 $313 100¢ $530 +$217 06-02 12:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -500 -$835 97¢ $-483 +$352 10-14 21:04
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +500 $427 94¢ $471 +$44 07-15 23:39
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +500 $290 88¢ $440 +$150 05-04 17:49