Delayed-Appetiser 0x270afb…d27b78 Create alert
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.65K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.79K
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
339
Trades
1,645
lifetime
Volume
$97.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$10.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 22:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
44% 61% +$3,293
Politics
26% 51% +$3,509
Sports
20% 37% -$10,774
Pop-Culture
6% 71% +$370
Tech
3% 62% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +205,685 -$1,430 3¢ $5.7K +$7,087 11-10 10:40
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +1,101 $1,028 98¢ $1.1K +$45 11-09 17:51
Will there be at least 5600 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026? Yes +582 $554 95¢ $554 +$1 11-10 18:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes +543 $537 97¢ $529 -$8 11-10 18:43
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,495 $473 31¢ $460 -$13 11-10 22:12
Next US president 80+ years old at inauguration? No +280 $267 95¢ $268 +$1 11-09 17:22
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -619 -$158 34¢ $-207 -$49 11-10 15:43
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +202 $190 98¢ $198 +$8 10-30 17:36
Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30? Yes +151 $143 97¢ $146 +$3 11-05 04:10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? No +124 $122 99¢ $122 +$0 09-17 04:43
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,795 $25 2¢ $120 +$95 11-06 13:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $85 26¢ $105 +$20 11-05 04:42
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? Yes +83 $81 98¢ $81 +$0 11-09 17:53
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +16,505 -$408 0¢ $74 +$482 11-09 19:50
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,256 $48 1¢ $69 +$21 11-05 04:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +79 $6 85¢ $67 +$61 10-23 13:31
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +296 $72 22¢ $67 -$6 11-10 18:36
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes -541 -$94 12¢ $-62 +$32 10-26 17:39
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +171 $48 18¢ $31 -$18 09-15 15:49
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +400 $20 6¢ $26 +$6 10-12 23:23
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +25 $23 92¢ $23 $0 11-09 18:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.9%-1.2%? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 11-05 01:15
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No -14 -$13 98¢ $-14 -$1 06-12 17:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $20 6¢ $13 -$7 11-09 17:33
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +319 -$9 3¢ $11 +$19 11-07 20:01
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,000 $12 0¢ $10 -$2 11-10 18:35
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +241 -$21 4¢ $10 +$31 11-06 02:43
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +92 $25 6¢ $6 -$19 06-02 04:15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -116 -$4 5¢ $-6 -$2 11-09 20:00
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? Yes — +5 $2 92¢ $5 +$2 08-12 06:16