Delayed-Appetiser 0x270afb…d27b78 Create alert
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.65K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.17K
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
338
Trades
1,630
lifetime
Volume
$95.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$8.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Other
45% 61% +$3,293
Politics
25% 51% +$3,509
Sports
21% 37% -$10,774
Pop-Culture
7% 71% +$370
Tech
3% 60% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +260,432 -$92 2¢ $5.3K +$5,431 11-09 19:28
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +1,101 $1,028 98¢ $1.1K +$49 11-09 17:51
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +915 $292 32¢ $295 +$3 11-09 19:24
Next US president 80+ years old at inauguration? No +280 $267 96¢ $268 +$1 11-09 17:22
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +202 $190 98¢ $198 +$8 10-30 17:36
Will there be at least 5600 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026? Yes +197 $193 97¢ $191 -$3 11-09 17:25
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -519 -$119 34¢ $-179 -$60 11-03 20:51
Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30? Yes +151 $143 97¢ $146 +$3 11-05 04:10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? No +124 $122 99¢ $122 +$0 09-17 04:43
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $85 27¢ $109 +$25 11-05 04:42
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +16,505 -$408 1¢ $107 +$515 11-09 19:50
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,795 $25 2¢ $101 +$76 11-06 13:08
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? Yes +83 $81 99¢ $82 +$1 11-09 17:53
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +79 $6 85¢ $67 +$61 10-23 13:31
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes -541 -$94 12¢ $-62 +$32 10-26 17:39
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,256 $48 1¢ $62 +$14 11-05 04:15
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +148 $44 30¢ $45 +$1 11-09 20:10
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +171 $48 18¢ $31 -$18 09-15 15:49
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +400 $20 6¢ $26 +$6 10-12 23:23
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +25 $23 92¢ $23 $0 11-09 18:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.9%-1.2%? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 11-05 01:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $20 10¢ $19 -$1 11-09 17:33
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No -14 -$13 97¢ $-14 -$1 06-12 17:23
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +92 $25 11¢ $10 -$15 06-02 04:15
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +241 -$21 4¢ $10 +$31 11-06 02:43
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +319 -$9 3¢ $9 +$17 11-07 20:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -116 -$4 5¢ $-6 -$3 11-09 20:00
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +64 $9 5¢ $3 -$6 11-05 04:40
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $2 3¢ $3 +$0 11-04 23:27
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -83 -$3 3¢ $-3 +$1 11-01 19:09