(anonymous) 0x9c2dfe…ce17d9
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$56
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
37
Trades
167
lifetime
Volume
$6.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$2.59K
26 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 09-19 00:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
44% 88% -$13
Other
43% 89% -$16
Crypto
11% 100% +$15
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +300 $179 92¢ $278 +$99 07-15 10:25
Discord IPO before 2027? No +200 $140 94¢ $188 +$48 08-17 07:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +220 $176 82¢ $179 +$3 08-04 16:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $160 90¢ $179 +$19 08-14 20:06
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +200 $150 88¢ $177 +$27 08-09 11:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +200 $152 84¢ $167 +$15 08-13 13:19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +200 $150 70¢ $139 -$10 07-17 08:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +100 $85 96¢ $96 +$10 07-23 06:50
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +100 $84 95¢ $95 +$10 07-16 05:11
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +100 $79 93¢ $93 +$14 07-09 17:42
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +100 $79 92¢ $92 +$13 08-07 14:27
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +95 $75 96¢ $91 +$16 07-27 04:29
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +100 $73 88¢ $88 +$16 09-06 05:03
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +100 $87 88¢ $88 +$1 07-14 15:19
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +100 $81 86¢ $86 +$6 08-17 14:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $82 86¢ $86 +$4 08-28 14:42
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +100 $82 86¢ $85 +$3 08-16 16:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $86 79¢ $79 -$7 08-28 16:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $71 78¢ $78 +$8 08-30 13:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +100 $79 64¢ $64 -$16 08-29 03:05
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +50 $40 98¢ $49 +$8 07-06 02:31
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +50 $31 94¢ $47 +$16 07-31 04:43
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +50 $42 92¢ $46 +$4 07-22 16:16
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +100 $77 16¢ $16 -$62 07-16 15:41
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +200 $142 2¢ $3 -$138 07-20 01:53
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +200 $166 2¢ $3 -$163 08-06 06:57