Realized P&L
-$3.81K
Unrealized P&L
-$161
Hit rate
24.5%
Resolved
324
Trades
8,205
lifetime
Volume
$278.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$806
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 10-28 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Politics
55% 29% -$1,837
Other
31% 34% -$1,742
Sports
10% 46% -$282
Crypto
3% 38% +$150
Tech
1% 30% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 11% -$92
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -566 -$290 83¢ $-470 -$180 05-16 02:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +193 $142 57¢ $110 -$32 10-28 22:17
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -100 -$79 92¢ $-92 -$13 05-01 14:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +98 $50 45¢ $44 -$6 10-28 19:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -229 -$80 14¢ $-31 +$49 05-11 03:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $30 62¢ $31 +$0 10-28 20:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -300 -$57 4¢ $-12 +$45 04-28 19:55
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +14 $8 60¢ $9 +$1 10-28 21:19
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $1 78¢ $4 +$3 10-06 04:47
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes -20 -$5 13¢ $-3 +$2 04-30 08:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 $0 04-28 15:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 83¢ $0 +$0 09-13 20:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +0 $2 71¢ $0 -$2 06-15 09:00
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 $13 100¢ $0 -$13 09-12 11:23
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 $0 09-13 18:07
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +0 -$1 56¢ $0 +$2 05-19 06:39
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$3 70¢ $0 +$3 10-19 10:36
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +0 $2 62¢ $0 -$2 10-21 21:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $4 84¢ $0 -$4 09-24 10:58
No one announced as next James Bond? No +0 $6 78¢ $0 -$6 10-10 03:28
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +0 $4 10¢ $0 -$4 05-03 06:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +0 $0 42¢ $0 $0 08-21 03:54
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes +0 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 04-29 12:27