Murky-Chow 0x640610…7dbc04
whale cold 8L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$401
Hit rate
22.5%
Resolved
795
Trades
29,504
lifetime
Volume
$1.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$2.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-27 10:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Politics
51% 25% -$1,401
Other
36% 26% -$2,414
Sports
10% 55% -$330
Tech
2% 30% -$190
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Crypto
0% 0% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 388 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +432 $326 55¢ $237 -$88 10-27 09:17
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +267 $250 86¢ $231 -$20 10-27 09:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +200 $200 86¢ $172 -$28 10-27 08:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +237 $205 70¢ $167 -$38 10-26 06:03
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +202 $159 78¢ $159 -$1 10-27 01:43
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +200 $180 74¢ $149 -$31 10-27 06:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +201 $135 63¢ $127 -$8 10-26 19:37
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +144 $112 84¢ $122 +$10 10-26 22:05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +198 $121 55¢ $109 -$12 10-27 11:36
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +118 $113 80¢ $94 -$19 10-26 21:01
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +169 $102 54¢ $90 -$11 10-26 15:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +118 $91 76¢ $90 $0 10-27 11:35
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +105 $90 86¢ $90 +$0 10-26 20:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +108 $97 84¢ $90 -$6 10-27 11:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +107 $98 83¢ $89 -$8 10-27 03:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +141 $88 58¢ $82 -$6 10-27 01:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +121 $86 66¢ $79 -$7 10-27 08:45
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +80 $91 88¢ $70 -$21 10-12 16:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +75 $50 60¢ $45 -$5 10-27 10:57
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +50 $32 59¢ $30 -$2 10-27 10:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes -12 $33 37¢ $-5 -$38 10-07 21:27
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +1 $11 80¢ $1 -$10 10-27 11:38
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +0 $7 80¢ $0 -$6 10-27 08:28
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $4 80¢ $0 -$3 09-30 23:27
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +0 $13 75¢ $0 -$13 09-28 22:13
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +0 $15 86¢ $0 -$15 10-23 05:27
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +0 $11 96¢ $0 -$11 10-06 07:27
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +0 $1 99¢ $0 -$1 07-01 06:48
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +0 $2 82¢ $0 -$2 10-06 22:20
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 07-08 21:25