Murky-Chow 0x640610…7dbc04
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
8.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,838
lifetime
Volume
$104.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$2.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 06-30 17:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
36% 25% $-27
Other
35% — —
Sports
19% — —
Tech
9% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +383 $291 86¢ $328 +$36 06-26 15:39
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +579 $320 46¢ $263 $-57 06-30 20:39
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No -200 $-180 94¢ $-187 $-7 06-23 19:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +200 $160 86¢ $171 +$11 06-29 18:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -194 $-163 88¢ $-170 $-7 06-16 11:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -198 $-120 83¢ $-165 $-45 06-30 08:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -193 $-152 74¢ $-144 +$8 06-19 11:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +204 $82 70¢ $144 +$62 06-06 05:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -158 $-117 84¢ $-132 $-15 06-26 12:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -221 $-119 60¢ $-132 $-13 06-29 16:09
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +200 $132 64¢ $127 $-5 06-30 17:45
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -104 $-47 69¢ $-72 $-25 06-15 11:20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +135 $64 44¢ $59 $-6 06-30 17:52
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -68 $-50 80¢ $-54 $-4 06-22 04:00
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No -59 $-46 75¢ $-44 +$2 06-27 12:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +97 $42 44¢ $43 +$0 06-17 11:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -89 $-41 39¢ $-35 +$7 06-29 14:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -81 $-15 40¢ $-33 $-18 06-24 23:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-32 80¢ $-32 +$0 06-24 12:45
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -100 $-46 31¢ $-31 +$15 06-20 11:22
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? Yes +36 $26 72¢ $26 +$0 06-30 16:04
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +42 $24 56¢ $24 $-0 06-30 12:54
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -35 $-25 46¢ $-16 +$10 06-29 03:39
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +25 $9 61¢ $15 +$7 06-20 14:34
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -23 $-15 59¢ $-13 +$1 06-27 12:46
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -17 $-1 56¢ $-9 $-9 06-24 04:55
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -11 $-6 80¢ $-9 $-3 06-29 12:47
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 $-1 06-18 11:22
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +3 $1 44¢ $2 +$0 06-29 14:05
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +0 $10 70¢ $0 $-10 06-29 21:09