Murky-Chow 0x640610…7dbc04
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$146
Hit rate
8.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,943
lifetime
Volume
$168.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$2.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 07-21 18:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
41% — —
Politics
40% 25% $-27
Sports
12% — —
Tech
6% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +404 $255 78¢ $317 +$62 07-20 09:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +383 $306 72¢ $278 $-28 07-20 07:40
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +408 $261 62¢ $255 $-6 07-21 20:59
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No -200 $-180 97¢ $-195 $-14 06-23 19:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -194 $-163 86¢ $-168 $-5 06-16 11:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -288 $-170 54¢ $-154 +$16 07-21 15:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -193 $-147 78¢ $-152 $-4 07-05 23:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +200 $126 58¢ $117 $-9 07-21 15:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -100 $-32 66¢ $-67 $-34 07-21 11:26
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +70 $60 85¢ $59 $-1 07-21 10:24
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +95 $59 60¢ $57 $-2 07-20 06:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +75 $64 74¢ $56 $-8 07-19 13:54
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No -59 $-46 91¢ $-54 $-7 06-27 12:46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -58 $-31 88¢ $-51 $-20 07-21 06:11
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +58 $43 76¢ $44 +$2 07-21 07:13
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -90 $-42 48¢ $-43 $-2 07-01 02:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-35 86¢ $-35 +$0 07-11 01:00
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +50 $34 69¢ $34 +$1 07-21 19:20
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -100 $-46 34¢ $-34 +$11 06-20 11:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +97 $42 36¢ $34 $-8 06-17 11:21
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +50 $31 62¢ $31 +$0 07-21 08:42
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $27 57¢ $29 +$2 07-21 15:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -81 $-15 34¢ $-27 $-12 06-24 23:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +27 $37 82¢ $23 $-14 07-20 21:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +29 $44 73¢ $21 $-23 07-21 19:40
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +24 $19 82¢ $19 +$0 07-21 03:53
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +25 $16 52¢ $13 $-3 07-13 14:15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -17 $-3 70¢ $-12 $-9 07-11 17:04
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -4 $28 66¢ $-3 $-31 07-21 08:01
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +0 $0 44¢ $0 $-0 06-07 07:55