Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$2.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-31 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Tech

27% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Politics

5% 0% $-5

Sports

1% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	7	$376	852	852	+0	open	—	07-30 07:39
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	6	$328	1,711	775	+936	open	—	07-26 10:26
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	2	$299	275	275	+0	open	—	07-13 17:30
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	7	$159	1,403	1,403	+0	open	—	07-31 08:54
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	2	$117	273	273	+0	open	—	07-19 15:21
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	4	$104	1,283	1,283	+0	open	—	07-31 08:56
will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	2	$90	167	167	+0	open	—	07-10 11:24
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$66	1,658	0	+1,658	open	—	07-26 21:21
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	3	$65	190	190	+0	open	—	07-13 13:46
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$59	155	0	+155	open	—	07-15 10:10
bitcoin above 66k on august 4 2026	1	$58	833	0	+833	open	—	07-31 15:47
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$52	1,253	0	+1,253	open	—	07-28 16:53
will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	1	$48	307	0	+307	open	—	07-13 19:51
moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	7	$43	272	272	+0	open	—	07-26 21:44
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	2	$39	66	66	+0	open	—	07-12 09:32
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	2	$34	118	118	+0	open	—	07-10 15:52
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	2	$33	367	0	+367	open	—	07-20 09:48
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	2	$28	916	0	+916	open	—	07-23 15:51
will waymo launch in washington dc by december 31 2026 20260626201631465	1	$24	301	0	+301	open	—	07-26 21:15
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	2	$16	59	59	+0	open	—	07-11 08:26
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	2	$16	546	546	+0	open	—	07-15 20:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	05-24 20:31
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$12	21	20	+1	open	—	04-05 11:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	07-06 05:31
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	2	$11	18	18	+0	open	—	05-08 14:02
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$11	40	40	+0	open	—	04-20 10:12
will openai ipo by august 31 2026	2	$10	400	400	+0	open	—	07-20 09:21
will bitcoin reach 98k december 29 january 4	5	$9	667	667	-0	open	—	01-02 13:19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$8	13	12	+1	open	—	04-05 11:42
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	1	$8	0	9	-9	open	—	07-06 05:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 15:47:06	bitcoin above 66k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	833	7¢	$58	0x02b9e8…
07-31 08:56:44	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0x82bb06…
07-31 08:54:27	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	122	1¢	$2	0x141d0c…
07-31 08:52:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0x3b56be…
07-31 08:51:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	409	3¢	$13	0xe6a57b…
07-31 08:48:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	224	5¢	$11	0xd761e4…
07-31 08:46:26	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	557	5¢	$29	0xa1ec62…
07-30 07:41:23	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	804	8¢	$67	0x71098c…
07-30 07:39:53	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	296	25¢	$74	0x0678a3…
07-30 01:35:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	599	6¢	$35	0x08e4b7…
07-28 16:53:13	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	704	4¢	$29	0x2e33d8…
07-28 16:52:41	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$33	0x61e34c…
07-28 16:05:28	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	414	4¢	$17	0x16bc75…
07-28 16:04:32	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	283	7¢	$20	0x217f29…
07-28 16:02:28	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$6	0x0140e7…
07-26 21:44:54	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	No	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xfa2234…
07-26 21:42:09	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	No	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0xefef47…
07-26 21:21:54	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,658	4¢	$66	0x46a0ff…
07-26 21:18:03	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9e06c4…
07-26 21:17:30	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xcb8427…
07-26 21:15:13	will waymo launch in washington dc by december 31 2026 20260626201631465	Yes	BUY	301	8¢	$24	0x4efdc1…
07-26 21:11:42	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4792ec…
07-26 21:05:58	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,283	3¢	$43	0x452af6…
07-26 10:26:27	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	SELL	550	21¢	$113	0xddba90…
07-26 10:25:04	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	23¢	$18	0x4141e5…
07-26 10:22:33	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	27¢	$20	0x10b99f…
07-26 10:20:48	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x93e737…
07-25 19:14:21	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xbad61e…
07-25 19:12:27	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$1	0x48d789…
07-25 19:11:34	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$1	0x597912…
07-25 19:08:27	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x666251…
07-23 15:51:48	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	Yes	BUY	581	3¢	$18	0x3f3d5b…
07-23 15:40:00	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	3¢	$10	0xb9281e…
07-23 15:38:10	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	Yes	BUY	154	3¢	$5	0xf3db3a…
07-23 10:04:54	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	55¢	$34	0x710018…
07-21 07:13:10	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	25¢	$39	0xb6ef07…
07-20 09:48:39	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	9¢	$15	0xac3b6a…
07-20 09:24:52	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	No	SELL	136	5¢	$7	0x0094dc…
07-20 09:21:52	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$5	0x1b154b…
07-19 15:27:37	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	24¢	$34	0xfe2391…
07-19 15:27:12	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	No	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0x00d166…
07-19 15:25:36	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x2a6608…
07-19 15:21:58	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	273	21¢	$57	0xa6569a…
07-17 10:59:43	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	9¢	$19	0x58a812…
07-17 10:56:51	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	21¢	$13	0x045392…
07-16 16:20:43	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,711	8¢	$138	0x181fbf…
07-16 16:17:20	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	28¢	$18	0x298005…
07-16 16:16:10	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	31¢	$135	0x98e208…
07-15 20:02:31	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	546	1¢	$7	0x207ba7…
07-15 10:10:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	38¢	$59	0x068c33…
07-15 10:09:23	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	546	2¢	$9	0x169633…
07-13 19:51:53	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	307	16¢	$48	0x04eda6…
07-13 18:15:02	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	11¢	$63	0xb2ff58…
07-13 17:30:17	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	275	78¢	$214	0x057189…
07-13 13:46:13	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	190	12¢	$23	0x46b124…
07-12 12:59:29	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	95	23¢	$22	0x343b8c…
07-12 11:43:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x2d290b…
07-12 09:32:13	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	66	21¢	$14	0x71b321…
07-12 07:28:44	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x32066e…
07-11 08:26:34	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	SELL	59	11¢	$6	0x42e3cf…
07-11 06:42:32	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	BUY	273	22¢	$60	0xdef7ff…
07-10 15:52:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	118	12¢	$14	0x75f9d4…
07-10 15:44:14	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc910c3…
07-10 11:24:20	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	167	36¢	$60	0xc961d6…
07-09 11:33:38	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	31¢	$85	0x46b5bc…
07-09 11:28:25	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x9132c4…
07-09 11:26:59	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x33aa3c…
07-09 08:34:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x5fae71…
07-09 05:52:31	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x1ca001…
07-09 05:52:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x4a661f…
07-06 05:31:46	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x2bc0a0…
07-06 05:31:40	Ledger IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xd4f5c2…
07-06 05:31:32	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xdca4d3…
07-06 05:31:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xd11bac…
07-06 05:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd45418…
06-27 10:34:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xdc23a5…
06-10 12:07:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x427243…
06-01 04:41:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x416167…
06-01 04:41:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x177bdb…
05-24 20:31:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x89dec2…
05-21 03:43:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe4d6f1…
05-10 20:36:30	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6870c0…
05-10 20:36:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfea64a…
05-08 14:02:59	Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x109e65…
04-21 03:10:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x806037…
04-20 10:12:46	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xf078f5…
04-19 08:33:22	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2a79cd…
04-17 04:18:30	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1c033a…
04-06 09:32:51	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe199ee…
04-06 09:32:49	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc75e65…
04-06 09:32:47	will the portland trail blazers make the nba playoffs 772	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdfd775…
04-05 11:42:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xd8ca75…
04-05 11:42:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0xab687c…
04-02 12:30:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x30a34a…
04-02 07:42:17	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7f45ca…
04-01 06:19:25	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xdc49b0…
04-01 06:13:53	Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x595b77…
01-02 14:18:53	bitcoin above 92k on january 2	Yes	BUY	455	0¢	$1	0xa03447…
01-02 14:18:45	bitcoin above 92k on january 2	Yes	BUY	212	0¢	$0	0x61a348…
01-02 13:19:55	will bitcoin reach 98k december 29 january 4	Yes	SELL	264	1¢	$2	0x304019…