Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 6%-9%?
open
Total volume
$456
$20 in 24h
Trades
95
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$1,589
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-31 09:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.4¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $225
vs crowd: 9% YES on $441)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $12 | $276 | $264 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $19 | $45 | $26 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $8 | $79 | $71 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $9 | $216 | $207 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $26 | $26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $34 | $33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $9 | $36 | $26 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $17 | $84 | $67 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +163 | $7 | $7 | 6 | 10-24 17:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +143 | $10 | $10 | 7 | 10-31 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +64 | $62 | $62 | 4 | 10-22 09:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | +60 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-26 17:28 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +55 | $52 | $52 | 4 | 10-22 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +53 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 10-26 10:28 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 10-31 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9a6…b3aa | No | +37 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 08-26 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x68d8…7e7b | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 10-22 09:51 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 10-26 17:28 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 05:01 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-16 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 05:01 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-20 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-20 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-20 05:01 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-21 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x7df0…0dfe | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-20 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +10 | -$1 | $9 | 4 | 10-20 05:01 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-26 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-21 03:32 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +7 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 10-20 01:57 |
| Candid-Encirclement 0x6ae0…b747 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-22 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5304…428b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-16 09:16 |
| Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-16 09:16 |
| Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | +2 | -$1 | $2 | 12 | 10-26 10:28 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +1 | -$1 | $1 | 4 | 10-25 00:09 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-22 08:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:32:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x9b37e5… |
| 10-31 09:32:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x9b37e5… |
| 10-29 20:04:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xedf503… |
| 10-29 20:04:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xedf503… |
| 10-26 17:28:38 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x01ad38… |
| 10-26 17:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x01ad38… |
| 10-26 10:28:05 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x2b4b85… |
| 10-26 10:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2b4b85… |
| 10-26 10:28:03 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3b6b95… |
| 10-26 10:28:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3b6b95… |
| 10-26 05:53:38 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x760d18… |
| 10-26 05:53:38 | (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x760d18… |
| 10-25 00:09:09 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x10faef… |
| 10-25 00:09:09 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x10faef… |
| 10-25 00:09:09 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x10faef… |
| 10-24 18:25:50 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x09f1da… |
| 10-24 18:25:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x09f1da… |
| 10-24 17:20:36 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x97b672… |
| 10-24 17:20:36 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x97b672… |
| 10-22 09:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd0d8bc… |
| 10-22 09:51:32 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd0d8bc… |
| 10-22 09:51:32 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x78bf0b… |
| 10-22 09:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x68d8…7e7b | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x78bf0b… |
| 10-22 08:19:14 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc97eaa… |
| 10-22 08:19:14 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc5069c… |
| 10-22 08:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x62d5e2… |
| 10-22 08:19:14 | Candid-Encirclement 0x6ae0…b747 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xc5069c… |
| 10-22 08:19:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc5069c… |
| 10-22 08:19:14 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62d5e2… |
| 10-22 08:19:14 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc97eaa… |
| 10-21 11:44:06 | (anonymous) 0x0d3d…aa93 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa5cd38… |
| 10-21 11:44:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa5cd38… |
| 10-21 05:46:56 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x51485f… |
| 10-21 05:46:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x51485f… |
| 10-21 03:32:47 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8e418c… |
| 10-21 03:32:47 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 17 | 95¢ | $16 | 0x8e418c… |
| 10-21 03:32:47 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8e418c… |
| 10-20 05:01:35 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc7121d… |
| 10-20 05:01:35 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xc7121d… |
| 10-20 05:01:33 | (anonymous) 0x0d3d…aa93 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe2b0ae… |
| 10-20 05:01:33 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe2b0ae… |
| 10-20 05:01:21 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x865d26… |
| 10-20 05:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x865d26… |
| 10-20 05:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x100b69… |
| 10-20 05:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x0d3d…aa93 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x37021f… |
| 10-20 05:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x865d26… |
| 10-20 05:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x37021f… |
| 10-20 05:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x0d3d…aa93 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x100b69… |
| 10-20 02:08:23 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbced67… |
| 10-20 02:08:23 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x95b30a… |
| 10-20 02:08:23 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x95b30a… |
| 10-20 02:08:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbced67… |
| 10-20 02:08:23 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x95b30a… |
| 10-20 01:57:02 | (anonymous) 0x7df0…0dfe | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0xe63c80… |
| 10-20 01:57:02 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 71 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xe63c80… |
| 10-20 01:57:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe63c80… |
| 10-20 01:57:02 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe63c80… |
| 10-20 01:57:02 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe63c80… |
| 10-20 01:57:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe63c80… |
| 10-16 14:58:19 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6cc4c3… |
| 10-16 14:58:19 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6cc4c3… |
| 10-16 09:16:45 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d5daf… |
| 10-16 09:16:45 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x401dca… |
| 10-16 09:16:45 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34db71… |
| 10-16 09:16:45 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x401dca… |
| 10-16 09:16:45 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d5daf… |
| 10-16 09:16:45 | (anonymous) 0x5304…428b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3d5daf… |
| 10-16 09:16:45 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34db71… |
| 10-16 09:16:45 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x34db71… |
| 10-16 09:16:43 | Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe24a96… |
| 10-16 09:16:43 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe24a96… |
| 10-14 17:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa7a02e… |
| 10-14 17:27:37 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa7a02e… |
| 10-14 17:27:37 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa7a02e… |
| 10-14 17:27:37 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa7a02e… |
| 09-18 09:25:37 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x617471… |
| 09-18 09:25:37 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x617471… |
| 09-18 09:25:37 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x617471… |
| 09-04 19:18:54 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb87172… |
| 09-04 19:18:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb87172… |
| 08-31 13:51:40 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb75b3f… |
| 08-31 13:51:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb75b3f… |
| 08-26 00:11:58 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0c0315… |
| 08-26 00:11:58 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0c0315… |
| 08-26 00:11:54 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x1d80e3… |
| 08-26 00:11:54 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1d80e3… |
| 08-26 00:11:54 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x9f08f4… |
| 08-26 00:11:54 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9f08f4… |
| 08-26 00:11:54 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9f08f4… |
| 08-26 00:11:52 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xfb1eea… |
| 08-26 00:11:52 | (anonymous) 0xf9a6…b3aa | No | BUY | 37 | 92¢ | $34 | 0xfb1eea… |
| 08-21 15:24:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x3f9bbd… |
| 08-21 15:24:01 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x3f9bbd… |
| 08-20 03:19:25 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 33 | 89¢ | $29 | 0x9a642c… |
| 08-20 03:19:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x9a642c… |