(anonymous) 0x68d8f5…fa7e7b
cold 9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.99K
Unrealized P&L
+$160
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved
845
Trades
2,617
lifetime
Volume
$86.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$8.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-27 19:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
66% 86% +$264
Politics
27% 86% -$7,090
Sports
6% 70% -$163
Tech
1% 88% +$1
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 386 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +1,925 $1,831 95¢ $1.8K +$6 10-22 11:55
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,208 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K -$1 10-22 06:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +749 $748 100¢ $748 +$0 10-23 16:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,075 $768 32¢ $674 -$93 10-20 23:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +583 $577 99¢ $576 -$1 10-22 15:53
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +377 $118 100¢ $375 +$258 10-27 18:55
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +316 $314 98¢ $310 -$3 10-22 06:47
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +295 $293 100¢ $294 +$1 10-21 00:38
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +259 $248 95¢ $247 -$1 10-22 09:42
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +179 $178 100¢ $179 +$1 10-20 18:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +175 $171 97¢ $170 -$1 10-25 12:58
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +175 $163 93¢ $163 $0 10-20 18:25
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +163 $160 99¢ $161 +$0 10-22 19:15
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +152 $151 99¢ $150 -$1 10-23 06:58
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +152 $149 98¢ $149 $0 10-24 00:33
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +135 $134 100¢ $135 +$1 10-25 08:43
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +134 $134 100¢ $134 +$1 10-27 16:09
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +132 $132 100¢ $132 $0 10-23 02:36
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +125 $125 100¢ $125 +$0 10-21 22:20
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +120 $120 100¢ $120 +$0 10-21 02:17
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026? No +116 $116 100¢ $116 $0 10-24 00:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +102 $102 99¢ $101 $0 10-23 09:42
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 10-22 14:15
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? No +96 $96 99¢ $95 $0 10-16 23:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +131 $98 70¢ $92 -$6 10-14 10:42
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +89 $88 99¢ $89 +$0 10-21 16:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $89 98¢ $88 $0 10-23 22:48
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 +$0 10-21 17:57
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +81 $79 96¢ $78 -$1 10-23 17:54
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $76 84¢ $76 +$0 10-13 22:44