(anonymous) 0x68d8f5…fa7e7b
cold 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$6.86K
Unrealized P&L
-$227
Hit rate
84.5%
Resolved (30d)
957
Trades (30d)
2,624
2,624 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$86.8K
$86.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$5.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
66% 87% +$211
Politics
27% 84% -$6,915
Sports
6% 73% -$163
Tech
1% 91% +$2
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 386 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +1,925 $1,831 97¢ $1.9K +$38 10-22 11:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +583 $577 99¢ $579 +$1 10-22 15:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,075 $768 24¢ $508 -$259 10-20 23:38
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +316 $314 98¢ $310 -$4 10-22 06:47
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +295 $293 100¢ $294 +$1 10-21 00:38
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +259 $248 98¢ $255 +$7 10-22 09:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +175 $171 96¢ $168 -$2 10-25 12:58
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +175 $163 95¢ $167 +$4 10-20 18:25
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +152 $149 99¢ $150 +$1 10-24 00:33
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +152 $151 97¢ $147 -$3 10-23 06:58
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +132 $132 100¢ $132 +$0 10-23 02:36
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +125 $125 99¢ $124 $0 10-21 22:20
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +120 $120 99¢ $120 $0 10-21 02:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +102 $102 99¢ $102 +$0 10-23 09:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +131 $98 70¢ $91 -$7 10-14 10:42
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +89 $88 99¢ $89 +$0 10-21 16:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $89 97¢ $88 -$1 10-23 22:48
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 +$0 10-21 17:57
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +81 $79 97¢ $79 $0 10-23 17:54
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $76 84¢ $76 +$0 10-13 22:44
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +71 $70 98¢ $69 -$1 10-21 03:12
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +68 $68 99¢ $68 -$1 10-14 04:22
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? No +65 $65 100¢ $65 $0 10-24 22:22
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +52 $52 100¢ $52 +$0 10-21 00:44
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? No +51 $51 100¢ $51 $0 10-08 19:50
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? No +46 $46 100¢ $46 $0 10-24 20:00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +36 $36 100¢ $36 +$0 10-25 14:43
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 10-20 14:30
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 10-23 17:51