(anonymous) 0x68d8f5…fa7e7b Create alert
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7.47K
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
84.5%
Resolved
1,032
Trades
2,624
lifetime
Volume
$86.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$3.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
66% 87% +$257
Politics
27% 84% -$7,564
Sports
6% 67% -$163
Tech
1% 91% +$2
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 386 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +583 $577 99¢ $579 +$1 10-22 15:53
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +330 $324 96¢ $316 -$8 10-20 18:13
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +295 $293 100¢ $294 +$1 10-21 00:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +175 $171 99¢ $174 +$3 10-25 12:58
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31? No +170 $156 93¢ $158 +$2 10-20 23:54
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +152 $149 99¢ $150 +$1 10-24 00:33
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +125 $125 99¢ $124 $0 10-21 22:20
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +120 $120 100¢ $120 +$0 10-21 02:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +131 $98 84¢ $111 +$12 10-14 10:42
Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +105 $104 100¢ $104 $0 10-23 03:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +102 $102 99¢ $101 $0 10-23 09:42
Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +94 $94 100¢ $94 $0 10-16 17:56
Will Aleš Vrhovec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +90 $85 100¢ $90 +$5 10-15 15:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $89 99¢ $90 +$1 10-23 22:48
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +89 $88 99¢ $89 +$0 10-21 16:36
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 +$0 10-21 17:57
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +81 $79 98¢ $79 +$0 10-23 17:54
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Catalonia in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +75 $74 99¢ $74 +$0 10-22 06:50
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more? No +76 $75 97¢ $74 -$1 10-21 22:05
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +71 $70 98¢ $69 -$1 10-21 03:12
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +68 $68 99¢ $68 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? No +65 $65 100¢ $65 $0 10-24 22:22
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +64 $64 99¢ $63 $0 10-22 22:51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 18%-21%? No +58 $55 99¢ $57 +$2 10-19 13:52
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +52 $52 100¢ $52 +$0 10-21 00:44
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? No +51 $51 100¢ $51 $0 10-08 19:50
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? No +46 $46 100¢ $46 $0 10-24 20:00
Theo James announced as next James Bond? No +42 $42 99¢ $42 $0 10-22 15:04
will tyrese maxey win the 2026 27 nba mvp No +36 $36 97¢ $35 -$1 10-16 18:25
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 10-14 04:22