Will voters pick the M1 Garand rifle (.30-06) as the state gun of Idaho?
open
Total volume
$402
Trades
51
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$457
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-09
last 10-24 18:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.9¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $289
vs crowd: 6% YES on $339)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $14 | $159 | $145 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $5 | $140 | $135 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $18 | $17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $10 | $279 | $269 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $18 | $17 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $8 | $20 | $12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +97 | $8 | $8 | 6 | 08-20 13:23 |
| Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | +91 | $79 | $181 | 8 | 10-23 09:13 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 08-20 13:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 09-27 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-23 00:29 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 10-23 09:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 10-23 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 08-20 13:23 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 10-24 18:39 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-11 16:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-23 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xc320…3d45 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-16 16:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-11 07:17 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +12 | $1 | $3 | 4 | 10-19 08:41 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-27 11:00 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-20 13:23 |
| Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-24 18:39 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-09 23:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-22 16:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 18:39:23 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xb7f635… |
| 10-24 18:39:23 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb7f635… |
| 10-23 09:13:45 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x6a0afe… |
| 10-23 09:13:45 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x6a0afe… |
| 10-23 00:29:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xbe2044… |
| 10-23 00:29:15 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbe2044… |
| 10-23 00:29:15 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xbe2044… |
| 10-23 00:29:15 | (anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbe2044… |
| 10-19 08:41:38 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x266c45… |
| 10-19 08:41:38 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x266c45… |
| 09-27 11:00:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x433b03… |
| 09-27 11:00:06 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | SELL | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x433b03… |
| 09-27 10:59:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xaeafb3… |
| 09-27 10:59:51 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0xaeafb3… |
| 09-11 01:59:01 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2ed3fa… |
| 09-11 01:59:01 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2ed3fa… |
| 08-22 16:07:55 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf4ca65… |
| 08-22 16:07:55 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf4ca65… |
| 08-22 16:07:55 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0xf4ca65… |
| 08-20 13:23:00 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x985cde… |
| 08-20 13:23:00 | (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | BUY | 28 | 97¢ | $28 | 0x72a12c… |
| 08-20 13:23:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x72a12c… |
| 08-20 13:23:00 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x985cde… |
| 08-20 13:23:00 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x72a12c… |
| 08-20 13:15:42 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6cf803… |
| 08-20 13:15:42 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x6cf803… |
| 08-16 18:47:07 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x73e7d2… |
| 08-16 18:47:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x73e7d2… |
| 08-16 18:42:46 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x79b947… |
| 08-16 18:42:46 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x79b947… |
| 08-16 16:51:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf94bec… |
| 08-16 16:51:57 | (anonymous) 0xc320…3d45 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xf94bec… |
| 08-11 16:51:19 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xade2fd… |
| 08-11 16:51:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xade2fd… |
| 08-11 07:45:10 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x22d566… |
| 08-11 07:45:10 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x22d566… |
| 08-11 07:45:10 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x22d566… |
| 08-11 07:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x22d566… |
| 08-11 07:17:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbdeafc… |
| 08-11 07:17:57 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xbdeafc… |
| 08-11 05:22:27 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 41 | 91¢ | $37 | 0xb6d9d9… |
| 08-11 05:22:27 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb6d9d9… |
| 08-11 05:22:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb6d9d9… |
| 08-11 05:17:39 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xf24a32… |
| 08-11 05:17:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf24a32… |
| 08-11 05:12:27 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 28 | 88¢ | $25 | 0xa86b35… |
| 08-11 05:12:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xa86b35… |
| 08-10 08:11:45 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc4cda4… |
| 08-10 08:11:45 | (anonymous) 0xca76…c885 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc4cda4… |
| 08-09 23:38:04 | (anonymous) 0xca76…c885 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xc8961c… |
| 08-09 23:38:04 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xc8961c… |