Large-Prefix 0xab4770…fabe54
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Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
4.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,396
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$28
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 06-30 17:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
60% 40% $-12
Crypto
26% 100% +$1
Other
13% 0% $-10
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +24 $10 34¢ $8 $-2 06-29 01:04
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +27 $4 19¢ $5 +$1 06-29 00:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-20 19:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-30 09:13
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 06-25 06:35
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-26 02:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 06-29 14:48
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +0 $-1 81¢ $0 +$1 06-28 22:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +27 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 06-17 23:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -0 $-0 86¢ $-0 $-0 05-31 06:05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 42¢ $0 +$0 06-30 15:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-22 06:53