Large-Prefix 0xab4770…fabe54
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Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
4.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,712
lifetime
Volume
$11.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$37
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 07-21 21:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
59% 40% $-12
Crypto
24% 100% +$1
Other
16% 0% $-10
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +17 $5 99¢ $17 +$12 07-09 08:05
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +10 $10 90¢ $9 $-0 07-02 17:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 06-30 09:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +22 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 07-15 06:30
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 06-25 06:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +104 $10 1¢ $1 $-9 07-11 22:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2 $0 46¢ $1 +$1 07-20 07:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 $-4 28¢ $0 +$4 07-16 01:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -0 $0 72¢ $-0 $-0 07-17 10:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -0 $-0 86¢ $-0 +$0 07-18 21:27
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-30 15:03