Realized P&L
-$385
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved
807
Trades
4,215
lifetime
Volume
$13.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$80
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 10-04 20:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Politics
58% 58% +$152
Crypto
21% 54% -$161
Other
18% 10% -$252
Sports
3% 5% -$124
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -28 -$23 91¢ $-25 -$2 07-28 00:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -40 -$25 60¢ $-24 +$0 05-03 18:29
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -16 -$16 100¢ $-16 $0 07-28 00:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -13 -$11 85¢ $-11 -$1 07-28 11:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4 -$2 82¢ $-3 -$1 07-17 10:56
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 05-11 00:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 -$4 18¢ $0 +$4 07-16 01:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 07-18 21:27
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 05-01 16:11
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -16 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-28 11:14
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 06-30 15:03