Large-Prefix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,784

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-29 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

59% 40% $-12

Crypto

23% 100% +$1

Other

16% 0% $-10

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	65	$496	490	397	+93	No	$-10	05-08 22:21
btc updown 5m 1774291200	110	$374	580	210	+370	open	—	03-23 18:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	57	$308	241	262	-21	open	—	05-30 01:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	41	$281	240	233	+7	open	—	05-26 06:55
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	25	$234	437	302	+135	open	—	05-20 14:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	152	$219	194	194	+0	open	—	04-22 08:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	73	$196	572	572	+0	open	—	05-31 19:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	25	$186	336	310	+26	open	—	05-13 01:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	28	$175	191	138	+53	open	—	05-29 17:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	40	$158	193	193	+0	open	—	05-09 11:16
btc updown 5m 1774304400	26	$158	535	450	+85	open	—	03-23 22:24
btc updown 5m 1774340700	26	$154	454	3	+451	open	—	03-24 08:29
btc updown 5m 1774291800	15	$154	320	0	+320	open	—	03-23 18:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	20	$147	553	539	+14	open	—	05-22 23:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	26	$145	2,828	2,786	+42	open	—	04-08 01:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	24	$144	570	401	+170	open	—	05-01 21:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	145	$139	3,370	3,370	+0	open	—	04-01 16:24
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	58	$130	731	731	+0	open	—	04-16 01:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	17	$118	374	340	+34	open	—	07-11 22:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	100	$115	323	296	+27	open	—	06-17 03:04
sol updown 5m 1774175700	4	$110	59	59	+0	open	—	03-22 10:40
xrp updown 5m 1774175400	2	$104	57	56	+1	open	—	03-22 10:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	18	$103	140	140	+0	open	—	07-01 01:36
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	21	$102	1,114	1,114	+0	open	—	05-11 20:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	23	$101	87	87	+0	open	—	05-20 21:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	12	$99	104	104	+0	open	—	05-19 01:59
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	42	$97	357	357	+0	open	—	07-13 21:46
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$95	155	155	+0	open	—	03-22 13:01
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	35	$94	1,394	1,382	+11	open	—	04-30 22:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	58	$94	145	109	+36	open	—	04-14 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 23:12:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x420987…
07-29 20:39:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeefe17…
07-28 11:14:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xcd0cd3…
07-28 11:14:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x98bb0b…
07-28 11:14:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x556679…
07-28 11:14:50	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xef776c…
07-28 11:14:50	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5ee41c…
07-28 11:14:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xc38260…
07-28 11:14:49	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x6fe82c…
07-28 11:14:49	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2fde2c…
07-28 11:14:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x70ad80…
07-28 11:14:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x054823…
07-28 11:14:44	iran leadership change by august 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf141f1…
07-28 11:14:43	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xd8874c…
07-28 11:14:43	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc9a6e8…
07-28 11:14:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x777042…
07-28 11:06:53	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x05c3fa…
07-28 00:34:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xc5d66d…
07-28 00:34:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x438772…
07-28 00:34:03	will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	No	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x65c6c8…
07-28 00:34:01	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	SELL	28	84¢	$23	0x85b9e3…
07-28 00:33:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x9f8f50…
07-28 00:33:52	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	SELL	2,186	0¢	$4	0x4de08a…
07-27 20:15:31	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x4d2537…
07-27 20:15:06	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0x113447…
07-27 20:04:06	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xa0d11d…
07-27 20:03:51	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x1887fc…
07-27 19:54:28	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x11f59e…
07-27 19:53:54	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xe26601…
07-27 19:53:12	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xaf9e06…
07-27 19:19:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x33ed3f…
07-27 15:36:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xbcf173…
07-27 15:36:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x2bfca9…
07-27 15:34:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x0718fc…
07-27 15:21:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xf3bf7e…
07-27 10:27:04	will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	No	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x513248…
07-27 08:36:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x7acf16…
07-27 07:51:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x9b5cb2…
07-27 06:12:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xf4dab2…
07-27 02:42:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x185fe3…
07-26 21:17:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x8c8efc…
07-26 21:17:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0xc38b41…
07-26 12:15:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0xb5de3a…
07-26 12:15:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x022799…
07-26 11:18:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x2afbdb…
07-26 11:17:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x47b916…
07-26 11:05:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x942f23…
07-26 11:04:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xc4b193…
07-26 10:53:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x29dfae…
07-26 09:44:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xa95ced…
07-26 09:41:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x04028d…
07-25 21:50:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4bc462…
07-25 21:43:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xc12384…
07-25 21:43:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x615ec1…
07-25 21:43:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xfbec7e…
07-25 21:43:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x82d147…
07-25 21:43:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x2d9b96…
07-25 21:43:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x772c93…
07-25 21:30:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xbe47f4…
07-25 21:25:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x5b792e…
07-25 21:23:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xaa78ac…
07-25 21:23:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x8fc460…
07-25 21:23:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x42b6e4…
07-25 18:21:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	128	1¢	$2	0xde1c28…
07-25 04:58:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xa21f53…
07-25 04:58:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x173cf6…
07-24 05:09:07	iran leadership change by august 31	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x78e86e…
07-23 23:50:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x3d41fe…
07-23 23:45:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x6711e4…
07-23 23:45:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xff916b…
07-23 23:45:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xd5b0a5…
07-23 23:45:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x9fe394…
07-21 21:51:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xe4fd7d…
07-21 21:04:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	36	20¢	$7	0x592395…
07-21 19:10:01	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x72fd5a…
07-21 15:53:09	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2d6e18…
07-21 14:39:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xdb43dd…
07-20 15:58:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x6b5671…
07-20 15:57:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x4d9cf4…
07-20 15:57:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x4ecac3…
07-20 15:57:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x3c1a6d…
07-20 15:23:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0ae739…
07-20 08:02:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x9828fc…
07-20 08:01:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x5027da…
07-20 07:35:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xb6c9fd…
07-20 07:35:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x2c9da5…
07-20 07:35:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x1b56a7…
07-20 07:33:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xc0169a…
07-20 07:26:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xd8e105…
07-20 07:13:28	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xc0ed6d…
07-20 06:08:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xb45b8a…
07-20 05:20:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xd88fc2…
07-20 05:18:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x4f3d25…
07-19 22:48:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x9f7187…
07-19 21:45:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xe85402…
07-19 21:33:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x871385…
07-19 18:59:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xdea917…
07-19 17:15:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xb7f27e…
07-19 14:29:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xdf9c68…
07-19 11:44:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xffe15e…